Monday, October 21, 2013

Morning Call | 21 October 2013


FLOWS
Monday, 21 October, 2013
BUY
MAYBANK, PCHEM, TM
SELL
BJTOTO, AMBANK, WESTPORT
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
UEMS (5148)
21/10/2013
RM2.51
ACCUMULATE
RM3.22
With the stock having dropped 31% from its high of RM3.62, we are of the opinion the price has reflected a possible jump in RPGT from 15% to 30% for the first 2 years of sale of property. In the event that the quantum of RPGT increase is less than expected, there will be a rerating of UEMS. This has an even chance of happening as the government is keenly aware of the negative effects of a sharp contraction in the property sector, with repercussions in the construction & banking sectors and the ensuing increase in NLPs & job losses. In addition, the policies have to be accommodative for the impending listings of Medidni Iskandar & Iskandar Waterfront Holdings early next year. Company news flows will be positive for the current and next 2 quarters as UEMS will be launching RM3b worth of projects with 75% of the launches in Nusajaya. In addition, there are talks that the Ascendas’ Industrial Park project has received the land titles which means launches could start by year-end. UEMS is currently trading at a 46% discount to RNAV of RM4.62. A decent 30% discount to RNAV would bring the price up to RM3.23 which is incidentally near to Bloomberg’s consensus 12-month target price of RM3.22. Accumulate
(PT)
 
 
MRCB (1651)
21/10/2013
RM1.46
ACCUMULATE
RM1.70
Similar to UEMS above, there is a potential rerating catalyst if property-related policies announced in the coming budget turn out to be better than expected as the stock is trading at the bottom of its trading range. It is 20% from its May’13 high of RM1.82 and is trading at close to 6% discount from RM1.55, the reference price for new shares issued to settle for 85% of the purchase consideration for Nusa Gapurna. MRCB has an order book of RM3b which will be further boosted once the acquisition of 70% PJ Sentral is resolved and this is expected to be a major catalyst for the stock. It currently trades at a discount of 38% to RNAV of RM2.37 and a p/bk of 1.29x versus historical 1.95x. Accumulate
(PT)
 
 

 
Calls for  OCT Week 2/ Week 3
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
DRBHCOM(1619)
11/10/2013
RM2.50
BUY
RM2.75
RM2.49
-0.4%
HUBLINE (7013)
11/10/2013
RM0.055
BUY
RM0.095
RM0.055
0.0%
DELEUM(5132)
14/10/2013
RM4.17
Take Profit
RM3.50
RM4.03
-3.4%
SUNWAY (5211)
14/10/2013
RM2.90
BUY
RM3.40
RM2.93
+1.0%
YTL (4677)
16/10/2013
RM1.52
ACCUMULATE
RM1.80
RM1.56
+2.6%
SCOMIES(7045)
16/10/2013
RM0.67
ACCUMULATE
RM0.80
RM0.735
+9.7%
MALTON (6181)
17/10/2013
RM0.97
Trading BUY
RM1.20
RM1.01
+13.4%
SENDAI (5205)
17/10/2013
RM1.42
ACCUMULATE
RM1.80
RM1.48
+4.2%
NAIM (5073)
18/10/2013
RM3.75
ACCUMULATE
RM5.12
RM3.78
+0.8%
OLDTOWN (5201)
18/10/2013
RM2.48
Trading BUY
RM2.88
RM2.52
+1.6%

 

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY