Wednesday, January 8, 2014

Morning Call | 8 January 2014

FLOWS
Wednesday, 8 January, 2014
BUY
TENAGA, SKPETRO, DIGI
SELL
MAYBANK, PCHEM, DIALOG
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
HUAYANG (5062)
8/1/2013
RM2.06
BUY
RM2.62
HUAYANG (RM2.06) – We continue to like Huayang for being one of the few property developers to focus on the affordable housing market which will enjoy resilient demand for the next few years. Huayang should not be impacted by the Budget 2014 property cooling measures as they do not have any initial exposure to the DIBS which will help them outstand the rest in the sector.  Group’s clear long term earnings visibility is one of its trump cards, with approximately RM3bil in GDV of future launches beyond FY14 as well as unbilled sales of RM558mil that will sustain their earnings for the next 2-3 years. The group’s outstanding GDV of its landbank stood at RM4.1bil where most of them are concentrated in the Klang Valley, Perak  and Johor area. Valuation of the group is attractive with only 6.09x multiple for FY14 and 4.86x for FY15. Huayang pays div of 5.34% at this price and  expected to pay out 6% by 2015 due to more launches in the Puchong region. Technical chart shows the beginning of a new trendline after successfully completing its last cycle. BUY with a TP of 2.62 based on 25% to our RNAV of RM3.50 and 6x FY14PE.
(RL)
 
PARKSON (5657)
8/1/2013
RM2.86
ACCUMULATE
RM3.45
PARKSON (RM2.86) - Stock price has fallen a whopping 31% (from RM3.90 to RM2.72) over the last quarter itself on concerns of its slower numbers from its Parkson Retail group in China as well as thinner margins. Looking forward, PRG will continue to refurbish its existing stores in China and will  open fewer but bigger stores in 2014 (est 6 stores); the group is also rationalising its cost by closing 6 non performing stores with lacking prospects.  Parkson is currently trading at 13.75x for FY 14 and 11.6x for FY 15 vs its 7 year average of 14x; a healthy balance sheet and a strong cash pile of RM3.0bil gives the group more options in terms of capex. Stock is group pays div yield of 4% historically. RSI only 28%. Accumulate on bottoming share prices and group’s rationalisation exercise. Immediate TP of RM3.45 based on 14x PE for FY 15.
(RL)
 
 
Calls for  DEC week 3/ JAN week 1 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
UNISEM (5005)
19/12/2013
RM0.89
BUY
RM1.30
RM1.04
+16.8%
BURSA (1818)
19/12/2013
RM8.09
BUY
RM9.84
RM8.03
-0.8%
TIMECOM (5031)
2/1/2013
RM3.55
BUY
RM4.00
RM3.66
+3.0%
JTIASA (4383)
2/1/2013
RM2.04
BUY
RM2.30
RM2.25
+10.2%
MUHIBBAH (5703)
3/1/2013
RM2.31
BUY
RM3.00
RM2.30
-0.5%
GADANG (9261)
3/1/2013
RM1.02
BUY
RM1.60
RM1.12
+9.8%
SENDAI (5205)
6/1/2013
RM1.03
BUY
RM1.29
RM1.04
+1.0%
ALAM(5115)
6/1/2013
RM1.53
BUY
RM1.80
RM1.58
+3.2%
MALTON (6181)
7/1/2013
RM0.845
Trading BUY
RM1.45
RM0.84
-0.6%
NAIM (5073)
7/1/2013
RM3.80
ACCUMULATE
RM5.16
RM3.80
0.0%
 
HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY