Monday, March 17, 2014

Morning Call | 14 March 2014

FLOWS
Friday, 14 March, 2014
BUY
ARMADA, GAMUDA
SELL
MISC, SIME, AIRASIA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
IJMLAND (5215)
14/3/2014
RM2.71
Accumulate
RM3.14
Group’s core earnings of RM240m for 9M14 was strong, coming in at about 81% of consensus. It also recorded group sales of RM2.45b or c89% of FY14 sales target of RM2.8b. In the next few months, it will be launching Rimbayu Phase 3 & is targeting RM3b worth of launches in FY15 ( which includes the anticipated Pantai Sentral, Nusa City @Johor & several affordable /township launches ). Management believes the property market will regain its strength towards 2HCY14. We believe it’s a good time to position into the stock now, given the improving outlook for the property sector. We continue to like it for it’s light Balance Sheet, lower sales base versus other large cap developers, high exposure to affordable / township projects ( more resilient to a slowdown ), strong management, good branding and strategic land bank ( good diversification ). Valuation attractive, trading at 27% discount to RNAV of RM3.70 & PER of 11.2x for FY03/15; Accumulate TP RM 3.14 (15% disc to RNAV & PE 13x).  (AK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ENCORP (6076)  
14/3/2014
RM1.29
BUY
RM1.60
The stock has seen significantly higher interest over the past 1.5 months, with the share price rising c35% in the process. The growing interest could partly be attributable to the management buyout by its top management of the 30.6% stake from the Executive Chairman Datuk Seri Effendi Nawawi. The street is expecting significant earnings improvement from Q213 onwards. Profitability currently relies mostly on it’s 100% owned Puteri Harbour Marina Project in Iskandar, Johor while it’s projects in Cahaya Alam, Shah Alam and Kota Damansara are said to be doing well. The RM200m Batu Feringgi project is expected to be launched in early 2014. Property division expects a revenue churn of RM500m pa in the next 2-3 years. The concession division (10,000 units teacher’s quarters) contributes cRM100m revenue pa. On it’s construction division, group has demonstrated it’s ability to replenish jobs, raking in 3 contracts over the past 6 months amounting to RM344m, bringing construction OB to cRM894m ( to last the next 2-3 years). For FY13 results, PAT jumped 4x over FY12, although FY13 results included significant one-off extraordinary items. Core earnings were in line, putting FY13 PE at c15X; Trading Buy - on expected improved earnings in FY14/15.
(AK)
 
Calls for  MARCH Week 1 / Week 2 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
BRAHIMS (9474)
6/3/2014
RM2.44
BUY
RM3.04
RM2.54
+4.1%
PANTECH (5125)  
6/3/2014
RM0.91
ACCUMULATE
RM1.10
RM0.91
0.0%
GAMUDA (5398)
7/3/2014
RM4.62
BUY
RM5.20
RM4.46
-3.5%
MEDIAC (5090)  
7/3/2014
RM0.91
ACCUMULATE
RM1.05
RM0.90
-0.1%
UCHITEC (7100)
10/3/2014
RM1.36
ACCUMULATE
RM1.58
RM1.33
-2.2%
VITROX (0097)  
10/3/2014
RM1.44
BUY
RM1.70
RM1.51
+6.9%
PHARMA (7081)
11/3/2014
RM4.18
BUY
RM5.40
RM4.40
+5.3%
BSTEAD (2771)  
11/3/2014
RM5.39
ACCUMULATE
RM6.00
RM5.40
+0.2%
CYPARK (5184)
13/3/2014
RM2.42
BUY
RM2.80
RM2.42
0.0%
SUPERMX (7106)  
13/3/2014
RM2.80
BUY
RM3.10
RM2.78
-0.7%
 
 
HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY