Tuesday, September 2, 2014

Market Roundup | 29 August 2014

FBMKLCI   1866.11   -9.57pts   (-0.51%)     Volume  3.227b   Value 2.854b
 
1)  The KLCI experienced profit taking ahead of the long Merdeka weekend and the end of a sluggish reporting season, while renewed concerns on Ukraine crisis added to the negative sentiment. In the regional market, bourses were mixed with NIKKEI -0.23%, HIS+0.0%, SHCOMP +0.97% as investors sentiment turned cautious while Japan saw household spending worse than expected. In the local scene, CONSUMER PRODUCTS index saw heavy losses weighed down by TCHONG -6.45%, KAREX -3.45%, QL -2.64%, BAT -1.02%. Market breadth was negative with losers thumping gainers 660 : 251. Futures closed at 1871 (5pts premium)
 
2) Heavyweights : SKPETRO -2.54% RM4.22, GENM -3.01% RM4.51, PCHEM -1.87% RM6.30, YTL +3.85% RM1.62, GENTING -1.24% RM10.06, FGV -2.80% RM 3.82, TENAGA -0.48% RM12.38, PETDAG -2.99% RM20.10.
 
3) DBT : NEXGRAM 28.6mil @ RM0.13 (4.0% premium), FURNWEB 25.2mil @ RM0.75 (17.37% PUC @ 16.7% discount), SILKHLD 20mil @ RM1.05 (3.88% PUC @ 7.14% premium), YINSON 3.0mil @ RM2.96.
 
4) Situational:-
 
FGV -2.80% RM3.82 - Felda Global Ventures Holdings Bhd is planning a take-over offer for London-listed Asian Plantations Ltd at GBP2.20 (RM11.50) per share or RM627mil. The acquisition will enable FGV to capitalize on APL's oil plantations in Sarawak increasing its landbank by approximately 24,622 hectares.
 
5) CIMB
 
1HFY14  Tover-6% RM6,945m    Net-17.4% RM2,016m    Eps 24.56sen   Div 10sen
 
                   43.5% of FY consensus RM4,636m
 
Yoy, Excluding RM365mil net gain from the sale of CIMB Aviva, net profit was lower by 2.8%. CIMB Group's 1H14 operating income was 1.0% higher at RM6.945 billion. Net interest income was 6.4% higher while non-interest income declined by 10.0%, due to a combination of lower volatility in treasury markets, weaker equity markets and decline in Indonesia bancassurance fees.
 
The Group's regional Consumer Bank PBT expanded by 1.4% YoY with Malaysia growing by 7.6% offsetting a 34.8% decline in Indonesia. Wholesale Banking PBT declined by 11.3% Y-o-Y to RM1.228 billion due to the slower equity and treasury markets.
 
The Group's total gross loans expanded 8.5% Y-o-Y or 11.3% after adjusting for foreign exchange fluctuations. Over the same period, total deposits grew 4.8% Y-o-Y or 7.8% higher Y-o-Y after excluding foreign exchange fluctuations. This raised the Group's loan to deposit ("LDR") ratio to 89.7% from 86.2% previously.
 
The Group's gross impairment ratio improved to 3.1% as at June 2014 from 3.6% in June 2013, with allowance coverage of 104.5% as at June 2014. The Group's cost to income ratio was marginally higher at 57.9% compared to 57.7% previously.Net Interest Margins ("NIM") were unchanged at 2.88%. As at 30 June 2014, CIMB Group's total capital ratio stood at 14.7% while its Common Equity Tier 1 (CET 1) capital ratio stood at 9.5%.
 
Non-Malaysian PBT contribution to the Group was lower at 35% in 1H14 from 39% mainly due to the 20.1% Y-o-Y decline in Indonesia's PBT to RM741 million from the lower CIMB Niaga earnings and the Rupiah's depreciation. Thailand's PBT contribution to the Group grew 5.2% YoY at RM125 million as the strong growth at CIMB Thai was offset by much weaker performance at CIMB Securities (Thailand). Total PBT contribution from Singapore rose 13.2% to RM160 million as CIMB Bank Singapore PBT grew by 58.2% YoY.
 
QoQ, The Group's 2Q14 operating income of RM3.407 billion were 3.7% lower than 1Q14, as the 4.0% QoQ increase in net interest income was offset by the 20.0% QoQ reduction in non-interest income in light of the lower fee-based income from CIMB Niaga's Consumer business. 2Q14 net profit was 10.9% lower QoQ at RM950 million due to higher loan impairment at CIMB Niaga.
 
With the impending merger deal between CIMB & MBSB are still pending, we advocate a hold for now.
 
6) Market: sluggish reporting season combined with renewed concerns on Ukraine crisis is expected to see index consolidating with downward bias. Support at 1846pts