Monday, October 13, 2014

Market Roundup | 10 October 2014

FBMKLCI   1808.88     -20.85pts   (-1.14%)     Volume  2.225b   Value 2.345b
 
1) The KLCI closed sharply lower today ending at -20pts below parity following the significantly weaker US market overnight after the VIX index to jump to 24% indicating the worries amongst investors. In the regional market, bourses sunk following the negative wave of sentiments from the West that sent NIKKEI -1.15%, HSI -1.90%, SHCOMP -0.62%, ASX -2.00%, STI -1.09% deep into the negative territory. In the local market, FINANCIAL related stocks weighed the CI down as CIMB -4.58%, PBBANK -2.03%, MAYBANK -1.52%, AMBANK -1.61% and HLBANK -1.11% all closed distinctively lower as the country awaits for more clarity from the on-going Budget 2015. Market breadth was negative today as losers towered over gainers by 748 : 152. Futures closed at 1808 (parity).
 
2) Heavyweights : CIMB -4.58% RM6.66, PBBANK -2.03% RM18.28, MAYBANK -1.52% RM9.70, SKPETRO-3.94% RM3.65, IHH -2.4% RM4.76, KLK -2.66% RM20.48, UMW -2.84% RM11.62, AMBANK -1.61% RM6.70.
 
3) DBT : SCIB 13.235mil @ RM1.23 (17.987% PUC @ 14.9% premium), HALEX 12.843mil @ RM0.98 (12.11% PUC @ 13.9% premium), GLOTEC 9.954mil @ RM0.08.
 
4) Situational:-
RHBCAP +2.06% RM8.88/ CIMB -4.58% RM6.66/ MBSB -10.97% RM2.63 - The trio of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd, RHB Capital Bhd (RHB Cap) and Malaysia Building Society Bhd (MBSB) have unveiled a proposed merger structure . The three-way merger will first see a share swap between CIMB Group and RHBCap at an exchange ratio of 1.38, This was based on a benchmark price of RM7.27 per CIMB Group share and RM10.03 per RHBCap share, translating into a price-to-book (PB) ratio as at June 30 of 1.70 and 1.44 times for CIMB Group and RHBCap, respectively. CIMB Islamic will buy all the assets and liabilities of RHB Islamic for RM4.15 billion, or RM3.53 per share. This values RHB Islamic at a price-to-book ratio of two times its unaudited consolidated net assets to equity holders of RHB Islamic of RM2.07 billion as at March 31 this year. CIMB Islamic will buy MBSB RM2.82 per MBSB share, and together with RHB Islamic, will merge to form a mega Islamic bank.
 
5) Budget 2015 Summary
 
For 2015, economic growth is expected to remain strong between 5% and 6% while the fiscal deficit is projected to further decline to 3% of GDP
 
In 2015, the Federal Government revenue collection is estimated at RM235.2 billion, an increase of RM10.2 billion from 2014. The 2015 Budget allocates a total of RM273.9 billion, an increase of RM9.8 billion compared with the 2014 initial allocation. Of the amount, RM223.4 billion is for Operating Expenditure while RM50.5 billion for Development Expenditure.
 
Infrastructure projects will be implemented:
Construction of the 59-km SUKE at a total construction cost of RM5.3 billion; Construction of the 276-km WCE at a total construction cost of RM5 billion; Construction of the 47-km DASH at a total construction cost of RM4.2 billion; Construction of the 36-km EKVE at a total construction cost of RM1.6 billion; Upgrading the East Coast railway line with an allocation of RM150 million; Construction of the 56-km Second MRT Line an estimated cost of RM23 billion; LRT 3 Project, which will link Bandar Utama to Shah Alam and Klang, at an estimated cost of RM9 billion, To start construction of the 1,663-km Pan-Borneo Highway comprising 936 km in Sarawak and 727 km in Sabah at a total construction cost of RM27 billion.
 
Positive for contruction players particularly in East Malaysia such as NAIM, HSL, CMS
 
HSBB
A sum of RM2.7 billion will be spent over the next three years to build 1,000 new telecommunication towers and laying of under sea cables. – positive for OCK
 
GST Impact
the Government has also agreed electricity consumption that is not subject to GST be increased from the first 200 units to 300 units. RON95 petrol, diesel and LPG be given relief from the payment of GST.
 
Income Taxes
Chargeable income subject to the maximum rate will be increased from exceeding  RM100,000 to exceeding RM400,000. The current maximum tax rate at 26% will be reduced to 24%, 24.5% and 25%. Government proposes the existing tax relief for treatment of serious diseases be increased to RM6,000 per year.
 
assessment 2015, cooperative income tax rate will also be reduced by 1 to 2 percentage points. For year of assessment 2016, will be reduced to 24%; For year of assessment 2016, income tax rate for SMEs will also be reduced by 1 percentage point from 20% to 19%
 
Fuel Subsidy
the Government will develop a new mechanism for providing petroleum subsidy. I will announce the new mechanism soon.  +ve Dsonic
 
Education
Education Blueprint 2013 – 2025, the Government will allocate RM56 billion to the Ministry of Education for various teaching and learning programmes.
 
the Government will increase the student intake in vocational and community colleges through the Vocational and Technical Transformation programme and upgrade colleges. For this purpose, the Government allocates RM1.2 billion.
 
+ve educational players such as Presbhd
 
Finance
EKUINAS will be allocated RM600 million to increase bumiputera ownership in private companies and GLCs. To date, EKUINAS has cumulative investments of RM2.3 billion in various sectors.
 
Healthcare
Government will allocate RM23.3 billion to implement the following initiatives:
Build two hospitals namely Hospital Dungun in Terengganu and Hospital Seri Iskandar in Perak. Another 20 Health Clinics and 37 dental clinics,
 
Additional 30 1Malaysia clinics, bringing the total to 290 clinics nationwide
 
+ve for Pharmaniaga
 
Replace 635 units of haemodialysis machines in Government hospitals and clinics with an allocation of RM30 million. Provide medicines for patients undergoing chronic and acute haemodialysis treatment with an allocation of RM45.4 million.
 
PRIMA
Build 80,000 units under the 1Malaysia People’s Housing Programme (PR1MA) with an allocation of RM1.3 billion. ceiling of household income is raised from RM8,000 to RM10,000.
 
Government has agreed to extend the 50% stamp duty exemption loan agreements  to increase the purchase limit from RM400,000 to RM500,000. The exemption will be given until 31 December 2016.
 
Rural Development
sum of RM4.5 billion will be allocated, particularly in Sabah and Sarawak for the implementing of the following programmes:
 
Construction of 635 km of rural road with an allocation of RM943 million; Implement electricity connection for 15,000 houses with an allocation of RM1.1 billion; Implement rural clean water supply for 7,500 houses with an allocation of RM394 million;
 
Water Projects
To address water supply shortage in the Klang Valley, the construction of Air Langat 2 Water Treatment Plant will be expedited. Costing RM3 billion, the plant will increase the supply of treated water to 1,130 million litres daily. A sum of RM112 million is allocated for setting up leakage control zones as well as detecting and repairing leaking pipes.  – Jaks, Engtex, Salcon, Puncak
 
Security
RM9.1 billion allocated to the PDRM. A sum of RM804 million is also allocated to Maritime Enforcement Agency Malaysia to strengthen maritime enforcement. +ve Digistar
 
To increase the readiness of ATM’s personnel and assets, RM7 billion will be allocated to purchase and maintain the defence assets.
 
Allowances and Bonuses
we will increase BR1M from RM650 to RM950. The assistance is for households with a monthly income of RM3,000 and below. It will be disbursed in three instalments
 
For households with a monthly income between RM3,000 and RM4,000, the Government will increase BR1M from RM450 to RM750.
 
For single individuals aged 21 and above and with a monthly income not exceeding RM2,000, BR1M will be increased from RM300 to RM350 a year.
 
For civil servants, I am pleased to announce a half-month bonus with a minimum payment of RM500 to be paid in January 2015. Government pensioners will also receive special financial assistance of RM250.
 
Starting January 2015, a RM100 each will be given to all primary and secondary school students with an allocation of RM540 million which will benefit 5.4 million students. Government will continue to implement the 1Malaysia Book Voucher Programme with the assistance of RM250 per student.
 
6) Market: the overall sentiment remains bearish and we expect this to continue heading into 3Q reporting season. Next support 1800pts