Stock calls for 1Q18

Morning Call | 30 December 2014

DELEUM (RM1.70) - Company’s RM4bn orderbook is expected to last up to 2023 backed by major contract wins such as the 5-year Pan Malaysia slickline equipment and services contracts and 7+3 year Long-Term Service Agreements for the provision of Turbomachinery maintenance services of gas turbines.Tenderbook remains healthy with current bidding for RM1.1b-1.2b contracts, of which 70-80% are for new contracts in its oilfield services division. Growth is expected from company’s regional expansion plans, and intentions to grow its Asset Integrated Solutions. Earnings are projected to grow at CAGR of 18% over next 2 years with PE only at 10xFY15. Company is also in a net cash position minimising risk of interest rate hikes and forecasted to pay an attractive dividend yield of 5% in 2015. Accumulate with TP: RM2.05. (TYK)

CHINWELL (RM1.41) - Chin Well is one of the world’s largest manufacturers and suppliers of carbon steel fasteners (i.e. screws, nuts and bolts). Chin Well manufactures and supplies fasteners that are primarily utilized in highway guard rails, power transmission towers, furniture and other applications. The bulk of the group's products are exported (Malaysia 24%, Vietnam and others 11%, Europe 57%). Recent acquisition of the remaining 40% in its Vietnam production for RM47.6mil via issuance of 27mil new shares at RM1.45 plus RM8.31m is earnings accretive. Eps per share for JuneFYE14 would have risen to 14.83sen (9.5xPE) from 13.15sen. 1QFY15 reported net profit of RM13.5m which equates to annualised EPS of 18sen (7.8xPER). Chinwell has a minimum dividend policy of 40% equating to 5.1% dividend yield.  Prospect for company is positive as it benefits from translation gains from weaker RM, while 6% GST tax is lower than existing sale tax of 10%. New orders from Germany and France for Do-It-Yourself (DIY) products are expected to expand its margins further. Currently trades at strong support level of RM1.40 after falling 20% from its peak of RM1.74 following announcement of Vietnam acquisition. Accumulate ahead of completion of acquisition with TP: RM1.80. (TYK)

Morning Call | 29 December 2014

HSL (RM1.67) – Stability in earnings guaranteed for the next two years with its secured order book of RM1.1bn. 2015 could see its order book improve significantly with a few high profile contracts in Sarawak expected to be awarded beginning with the Phase 2 Kuching waste water project where HSL is a front runner. Other major contract the group is linked to include the RM27bn Pan-Borneo highway and SCORE relate infrastructure projects. Sitting on a net cash position of RM122m and a forward PE 9.5x, we rate it a buy as its RSI is looking to cut up with an immediate target of RM1.85. (DN)

NCB (RN2.25) – the entrance of MMC as a major shareholder could see fortunes improve for the ailing port operator as it undergoes an overall revamp in trying to improve port and logistics utilization. Currently utilization is only 75% but with the new measures implemented, management is hoping to improve this to 90% and return the company to profitability. Trading at the low end of its P/Bk valuation band of 0.76x vs historical average of 1x, we rate it a buy with most negatives already factored into its price. Short term target of RM3.00 (the price MMC paid for its 15.7% stake). (DN)