Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Market Roundup | 20 August 2013


FBMKLCI   1745.42.36  -32.94pts  (-1.85%)   Volume  2.616b   Value RM3.749b

 

 

1) The KLCI broke down today recording a 5th consecutive loss following the US market that closed lower after treasury yield jumped to a 2 year high as investors await FOMC minutes this Wednesday as well as the outcome of the summit at Jackson Hole this weekend. The regional market were also bearish as losses were led by JCI -3.21%, NIKKEI -2.63%, SET -2.62%, HSI 2.20%, SHCOMP -0.62%. In the local market, selling pressure picked up in  late morning with index hitting an intraday low of 1737.58 (-40.78pts) as key heavyweights CIMB -4.05%, MAYBANK-4.59% saw heavy trading volume today. Market breadth was negative with losers overshadowing gainers by 964 : 75. Futures closed at 1740 (5 pts discount).

 

2) Heavyweights : MAYBANK -4.59% RM9.96, CIMB -4.05% RM7.58, AXIATA -3.62% RM6.79, SIME -1.79% RM9.32, GENTING -2.14% RM9.60, PBBANK -0.92% RM17.14, MISC -5.32% RM4.80, MAXIS -1.94% RM7.06

 

3) DBT : KEURO 23.1mil @ RM1.3288 (4.03% PUC @ 9.8% premium), SYF 5.5mil @ RM0.60 (2.01% PUC), ASUPREM 2mil @ RM0.31 (34% premium).

 

4) Situational:-

 

DAYA -2.81% RM0.345: A unit of Malaysia's Daya Materials Bhd has landed a major deal worth up to MYR440m ($133.4m) for an offshore subsea construction vessel long-term charter contract from Norway's Technip Norge AS for work in the North Sea and North Atlantic. Daya OCI (Labuan) Ltd (DOCIL) unit had been awarded the deal to provide the vessel along with a range of offshore services on a long-term charter basis for a period of 100 to 175 days per year for seven years, commencing this month until 2020.

 

5)PERDANA: HY06/13 Rev+6% RM128.4m Net RM24.3m ( Loss RM3.1m LY)  EPS 4.86

 

           Results makes up 45% of FY cons RM53.8m

 

For Q2 yoy, higher revenue mainly due to improvement in vessel utilization and charter rates in the current quarter. The significant improvement in PBT was mainly attributable to higher operating profit contributed by the increase in charter rates & vessel utilization & lower expenses (as Q2 last year included forex losses RM1.7m, impairment loss of refundable deposit RM1m & higher finance cost of RM1.2m). Qoq, Revenue+26%, PBT 17%. These improvements are primarily driven again by the increased utilization & charter rates, but slightly offset by mobilization cost for vessels under the new long term contracts; We are still positive on Perdana. Medium to long-term prospects are stable on the back of PERDANA's long-term contracts. For its existing vessels, at least 10 are chartered till 2018-2019; and another 3 are up till 2014-2015. Only 4 vessels (1 accommodation barge and 3 AHTSs) are on spot charters which Co is confident on securing recurring contracts. Longer-term prospects will hinge on it's future fleet expansion - Accumulate, and ride the wave of improvement in Perdana's charter and utilisation rates, which is the driving force behind the company's strong earnings recovery in FY13.

 

6) Market: even though the market has reached oversold territory, selling momentum is likely to persist with continued concerns on rising bond yields & weakening  currencies.  Initial support levels are at KLCI 1723/18 and the sma200 & psychological support at KLCI 1700.