Thursday, November 22, 2012

Market Roundup | 21 Nov 2012

FBM 1622.97      -1.23pts (-0.08% )  Volume 1,024mil     Value RM1,577mil
 
1) KLCI ended in negative territory after trading rangebound for most of the day, as positive US home sales data was offset by European finance ministers failure to agree on a debt-reduction package for Greece. HK+1.4% & SHCOMP+1% outperform the region on speculation policy makers will add stimulus. Market breadth was negative with decliners leading advancers 349:275. Future closed 1619 (7 pts discount).
 
2) Heavyweights: IOICORP-0.82% RM4.87, MAYBANK-0.33% RM9.01, TM-1.1% RM5.39, YTL-1.7% RM1.70 BAT-1.8% RM2.85, PCHEM+1.43% RM6.40, AXIATA+0.5% RM5.98, CIMB+0.39% RM7.70
 
3) DBT: LATEXX 85.2mil @ RM2.30 (38% PUC), PELIKAN 50mil @ RM1.00 (9.75% PUC - part of Pelikan & CSL share swap, 41% premium)
 
4) Situational:
THHEAVY+4% RM0.52: Management hinted that it's close to securing risk service contract (RSC). This is one of a few high-profile jobs the company is looking at following the restructuring of its business operations. THHE, has commenced negotiations with an international oil company (IOC) with the intention of forming a partnership to bid for RSCs in marginal oilfields.
 
5) BUMI ARMADA
9 mths Sep 2012  Turnover RM1.18bn    Net +16.7% RM278.1m  9.45sen
20% below cons(f) RM462.5m
 
Its 3 main core business saw top line growth of FPSO +22.2% (secured two new FPSO contracts towards the end of the second quarter 2011 - Apache in Australia for the Balnaves field and ONGC in India for the D1 field) , OSV +11.8% (improvement and recovery in the average fleet utilisation and new vessels acquired), T&I +37.5% (revenue increased as a result of contribution from the LukOil project secured end of April 2012, recognised on a percentage of completion basis and charter hire with Momentum Engineering secured by the Armada Installer in addition to its guaranteed charter days in the current year to date from Petronas Carigali (Turkmenistan) Sdn Bhd),  but Oil field development dipped RM200m which left total revenue flat.
 
Earnings however still managed to grow 16% due to higher EBITA margins as a result of higher margins from its new FPSOs, new OSV vessels and additional T&I contracts.
 
Full year results are likely to miss consensus forecast mainly due to the delay in awarding of FPSO contracts of which Armada is confident of securing another four in India, Malaysia, Indonesia and West Africa respectively. HOLD.
 
6) Market - Maintain current outlook. Expect a possible technical rebound in the next few sessions as the KLCI could bounce off its immediate support level of 1620pts but capped at around 1640pts.