Monday, November 12, 2012

Morning Call | 12 Nov 2012


FLOWS
MONDAY, 12 NOVEMBER 2012
BUY
GENTING, TM, DIGI
SELL
TENAGA, SIME, MISC
Stock Alert
STOCK
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
GAMUDA(5398)
12/11/2012
RM3.66
BUY
RM4.00
Early November saw Gamuda breaking above its 6 months trading range of RM3.30-3.60 following disclosure that Director Dato’ Lin has raised its stake in the company. This is in contrast to Feb 2008 prior to GE12 where Dato’ Lin reduced his stake which resulted in Gamuda share price collapse and traded at PE low of 7.5x. With Dato’ Lin stake increase we don’t see any major collapse in share price ahead of GE13. Currently Gamuda is trading at FY13 PE of 13x vs 5 years average of 22x and we believe this is unjustified given its strong orderbook of RM4.8bn with potentials contracts from Gemas-JB double tracking job and MRT2 and MRT3. Furthermore, Malaysia will be introducing rulings for business trust IPOs by next month, which is likely to benefit GAMUDA that owns water and highway concessions such as LDP, SMART and SPLASH. (TYK)
 
 
UEMLAND (5148)
12/11/2012
RM2.13
TRIM
RM1.90
Its share price has surpassed our trading target of RM2.00 initiated in early Oct while also achieving a 29% increase in share price from its low of RM1.68 on 25th Sept. We believe this offers an opportunity to take profit as MACD is on the verge of cutting into negative territory while RSI weakens. Should share price break below RM2.10, it could retrace to RM2.00 with next support at RM1.90. Trim ahead of possible election fears.(TYK)
 
 
 
Calls for OCT Week 3 / Week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
APM (5015)
05/11/2012
RM4.86
BUY
RM5.15
RM4.80
-1.3%
SKPRES (7155)
05/11/2012
RM0.375
BUY
RM0.46
RM0.380
+1.3%
TM (4863)
07/11/2012
RM5.69
Buy on weakness
RM6.00
RM5.60
-1.6%
AXIATA (6888)
07/11/2012
RM6.02
HOLD
-
RM5.91
-
DIGI (6947)
07/11/2012
RM5.09
HOLD
-
RM4.87
-
MAXIS (6012)
07/11/2012
RM6.74
Buy On weakness
RM7.15
RM6.68
-1.1%
BJTOTO(1562)
08/11/2012
RM4.32
Defensive BUY
RM4.65
RM4.36
0.9%
SUPERMX(7106)
08/11/2012
RM2.07
ACCUMULATE
RM2.08
RM2.08
+0.00%
DRBHCOM (1619)
09/11/2012
RM2.40
Trading BUY
RM2.80
RM2.40
0.00%
CMSB (2852)
09/11/2012
RM3.28
ACCUMULATE
RM3.60
RM3.32
+1.6%