Thursday, November 13, 2014

Morning Call | 13 November 2014


FLOWS
Thursday, 13 November, 2014
BUY
TENAGA, GENM, AMBANK
SELL
MAYBANK, UMW, PETGAS
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
TM (4863)
13/11/2014
RM7.20
TRIM
BB – RM6.80
The stock which traditionally trades in a PE band of 17-18x, recently surged to a high of 28x on the back of its LTE platform initiation with P1. This strategy however will require a substantial capex program given the number of tower sites required to set up nationwide coverage. EBITA margins which have been on the decline are likely to be further impacted until 2017/18 when this program is expected to bear fruit.  After the past month surge in its share price we feel that the market has already priced in most positive news without allowing for any execution risk. We recommend a trim with a buy back level of below RM6.80.
(DN)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UMCCA(2593)  
13/11/2014
RM6.77
BUY
RM8.00
Currently trading at traditional trough valuations presents a good opportunity to accumulate this plantation counter which is in one of the best positions to capitalize on a rebound in CPO prices. Its existing tree profile averages around the 8 year mark with FFB production in the next two year set to jump substantially from an additional 2000ha maturing. The premium pricing to the sector is supported by its higher growth and age profile of its plantation plus a decent yield of around 4%. Trading at a forward PE of 15x and yield of 4% we rate it a buy with a target price of RM8.00.
(DN)
 
 
 
Calls for NOV WEEK 1 / WEEK 2 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
PARKSON (5657)
5/11/2014
RM2.52
BUY
RM3.10
RM2.44
-3.2%
SIME (4197) 
5/11/2014
RM9.68
BUY
RM10.50
RM9.61
-0.8%
KPS (5843)
7/11/2014
RM1.75
TAKE PROFIT
RM1.58
RM1.67
-4.6%
SKPETRO (5218) 
7/11/2014
RM3.14
BUY
RM3.75
RM3.09
-1.6%
E&O(3417)
10/11/2014
RM2.55
ACCUMULATE
RM3.36
RM2.47
-3.2%
KIMLUN (5171) 
10/11/2014
RM1.42
SELL
-
RM1.42
0.0%
SUNWAY (5211)
11/11/2014
RM3.19
ACCUMULATE
RM3.70
RM3.17
-0.7%
BJAUTO(5248) 
11/11/2014
RM3.25
ACCUMULATE
RM4.00
RM3.44
+5.8%
DAYANG (5141)
12/11/2014
RM2.82
ACCUMULATE
RM3.30
RM2.81
-0.4%
SEM (5250) 
12/11/2014
RM1.66
TRIM
-
RM1.68
+1.2%

 

 

Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral