Tuesday, November 25, 2014

Morning Call | 25 November 2014


FLOWS
Tuesday, 25 November, 2014
BUY
CIMB, SKPETRO, SIME
SELL
MISC, PCHEM, TM
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
UZMA (7250)
25/11/2014
RM2.50
TRADING BUY
RM3.00
Among the biggest loser in recent selldown of O&G names, falling 35% from Oct high of RM3.84. RSI remains in oversold territory of 26%. Fibonacci 38% retracement from its low of RM2.35 and recent high of RM3.60 indicates an immediate potential upside of RM2.83 (13%). Earnings will be supported by its orderbook of RM1.9bn and tenderbook of over RM3bn. 2H earnings is expected to be strong underpinned by contribution from its RSC consortium’s capex expenses (USD40-50m) and newly acquired companies such as MMSVS and Premier Enterprise. First oil from its Tanjung Baram RSC is expected in 2Q2015. UZMA currently trades at 9.9xFY15 PER vs its 5 years historical average 19x. Given its high earnings growth forecast of 20-30% in the next 2 years we believe valuation is undemanding. Trading buy with TP: RM3.00 (12xFY15)
(TYK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ARMADA (5210)  
25/11/2014
RM1.26
ACCUMULATE
RM1.50
Share price appears to have found its bottom, consolidating for past 1 week around the RM1.40 level after falling 41% from RM2.40 in May. Current orderbook stands at RM21.8bn with bulk of its earnings coming from FPSOs which are long-term locked-in contracts. Madura contract is also expected to be finalised by year end. Group is now eyeing for four FPSO projects - one each in Ghana, Nigeria, Namibia and Angola. Now trades at 15.5xFY15 PER vs historical of 27x. Accumulate with TP: RM1.80 (20xPER)
(TYK)
 
 
 
Calls for NOV WEEK 2 | WEEK 3 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
FABER (1368)
17/11/2014
RM2.99
ACCUMULATE
RM3.30
RM2.83
-5.4%
WTK (4243) 
17/11/2014
RM1.21
ACCUMULATE
RM1.36
RM1.21
0.0%
PRESBHD(5204)
18/11/2014
RM1.51
ACCUMULATE
RM1.84
RM1.55
+2.6%
SUPERMX(7106) 
18/11/2014
RM2.02
Trading BUY
RM2.40
RM2.07
+2.4%
MRCB (1651)
19/11/2014
RM1.50
ACCUMULATE
RM2.00
RM1.51
+0.6%
OCK (0172) 
19/11/2014
RM0.95
BUY
RM1.70
RM0.95 (ex)
0.0%
SPRITZER(7103)
20/11/2014
RM2.08
ACCUMULATE
RM2.40
RM2.06
-1.0%
DIALOG(7277) 
20/11/2014
RM1.50
ACCUMULATE
RM1.70
RM1.70
+13.3%
AMBANK(1015)
21/11/2014
RM6.58
ACCUMULATE
RM7.50
RM6.60
+0.3%
CSCENIC(7202) 
21/11/2014
RM1.26
ACCUMULATE
RM1.50
RM1.23
-2.4%

 

 

Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral