Wednesday, January 14, 2015

Morning Call | 13 January 2015

FLOWS
Tuesday, 13 January, 2015
BUY
CIMB, TENAGA, IOICORP
SELL
SKPETRO, UEMS, DIGI
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
GAMUDA (5398)
13/01/2015
RM5.03
BUY
RM5.50
with crude oil prices in the doldrums, depressing CPO prices & potentially CPO production affected by the floods, a drop in consumer demand from the initial ill effects of GST, infrastructure spending & construction will be the key growth driver for the Malaysian economy in 2015.  Gamuda is the best proxy to public infrastructure spending with its dominant role in the MYR73bn Klang Valley MRT project, coupled with good profit margins from the project due to the 6% project delivery partner fee and its double-digit tunnelling margins. It is also starting to make inroads into the booming infrastructure developments in Penang. Other potential newsflows may come from their further involvement in KTM double-tracking project & KL-Singapore high speed rail. Accumulate (PT)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
AAX (5238)  
13/01/2015
RM0.65
BUY
RM0.80
Corrected 12% from the contagion of AirAsia Indonesia’s plane crash although it is a separate entity & its passenger load will at most be mildly affected from any ban in AirAsia Indonesia’s routes, yet the stock corrected 12% before stabilising around the current level. It is a big beneficiary of the sharp plunge in crude oil prices as fuel cost is about 40% of operating costs. It has been estimated that each S10/brl drop in jet fuel equates to a RM120m boost to the bottom line (Singapore-quoted jet fuel price has fallen $57/brl over the last 6 months). Hence, it is not surprising that the CEO is quoted to have said that AAX will turnaround in 2015 which would be a significant improvement from FY14 consensus loss of RM396m. Trading buy (PT)

 
Calls for Jan WEEK 1 / WEEK 2 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
MUHIBBAH (5703)
06/01/2015
RM1.83
ACCUMULATE
RM2.30
RM1.79
-2.2%
SUNWAY (5211) 
06/01/2015
RM3.24
ACCUMULATE
RM3.60
RM3.33
+2.7%
GENTING (3182)
07/01/2015
RM8.43
ACCUMULATE on weakness
RM9.30
RM8.69
+3.0%
MFLOUR (3662) 
07/01/2015
RM1.54
ACCUMULATE
RM1.70
RM1.55
+0.6%
AIRPORT(5014)
08/01/2015
RM6.38
Trading BUY
RM7.00
RM6.33
-0.8%
HLBANK (5819) 
08/01/2015
RM13.88
ACCUMULATE
-
RM13.98
+0.7%
SOP (5126)
09/01/2015
RM5.36
BUY
RM6.44
RM5.80
+8.2%
PRESBHD (5204) 
09/01/2015
RM1.50
ACCUMULATE
RM1.90
RM1.70
+13.3%
HOVID (7213)
12/01/2015
RM0.36
DEFENSIVE BUY
RM0.43
RM0.37
+2.7%
MATRIX (5236) 
12/01/2015
RM2.71
BUY
RM3.12
RM2.71
0.0%
 
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral