Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Morning Call | 28 January 2015


FLOWS
Wednesday, 28 January, 2015
BUY
MAYBANK, FGV, GENTING
SELL
DIGI, ASTRO, AMBANK
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
KAREX (5247)
28/01/2015
RM3.94
TRIM
BB - RM3.40
Share price has risen 40% since mid Oct’14 with RSI hitting 75%. We believe current valuation of 25.5x JunFY15 has priced in company’s expansion plans which includes boosting capacity from 4bn to 7b in FY17. Analyst has also imputed margin improvements from 15.8% to 17.3% in FY16 via stronger USD and favourable latex price. However latex prices have stabilised since Oct’14 and trades at 5yr low hence we believe margin could eventually normalise. Trim with TP: RM3.40
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UMWOG (5243)  
28/01/2015
RM2.70
TRIM
BB – RM2.40
Share price has risen 38% since its recent low with MACD showing signs of turning down while RSI is at 60%. We advocate trimming exposure as lower crude oil prices makes jack-up rig market more challenging. 5 out of 7 units of UMWOG’s drilling fleet are currently on ST charters with Naga 3 expiring in Mar. We believe DCR could drop 10-15% as these 5 are enjoying better DCR USD170-186k/day vs long term contract in Malaysia of USD144k/day. Trim with TP: RM2.40
 
 
 
Calls for Jan WEEK 3/ WEEK 4 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
SALCON (8567)
21/01/2015
RM0.60
ACCUMULATE
RM0.76
RM0.67
+11.6%
SKPRES (7155) 
21/01/2015
RM0.75
ACCUMULATE
RM1.00
RM0.755
+0.6%
SPSETIA (8664)
22/01/2015
RM3.60
BUY on weakness
-
RM3.55
-1.4%
NAIM (5073) 
22/01/2015
RM3.00
ACCUMULATE
RM4.00
RM3.01
+0.3%
FABER (1368)
23/01/2015
RM2.47
BUY
RM3.20
RM2.56
+3.6%
DELEUM (5132)
23/01/2015
RM1.75
BUY
RM2.20
RM1.74
-0.6%
GDEX (0078)
26/01/2015
RM2.20
BUY on weakness
RM2.50
RM2.19
-0.5%
GAB (3255) 
26/01/2015
RM12.28
ACCUMULATE
RM13.50
RM12.16
-1.0%
JCY (5161)
27/01/2015
RM0.715
Sell into Strength
BB  - RM0.63~
RM0.71
-0.7%
UZMA (7250) 
27/01/2015
RM2.06
Sell into Strength
BB – RM1.75
RM2.00
-3.0%
 
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral