Thursday, August 13, 2015

Morning Call | 13 August 2015


FLOWS
Thursday, 13 August, 2015
BUY
MUHI, GAMUDA
SELL
AXIATA, ASTRO
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
TIMECOM (5031)
13/08/2015
RM5.63
TAKE PROFIT
BB - RM4.80
Share price has gained 18% YTD mostly on stronger bandwidth sales, non-recurring contracts and regional expansion plans. We reckon these positives are priced in. Expectations for softer bandwidth sales on declining demand from the government, regulatory risks involved in commissioning of new cables esp. the rollout of the Asia Pacific Gateway cables (delayed to 2Q16) and poor market sentiment could limit the stock’s upside. Trades at 17.6x FY16 PER (vs 13x 5yr average) with price just cutting below its 100 day SMA and weekly macd falling below the signal line, we recommend to Take Profit. (Buy back @ RM4.80, 15x FY16).
(SPK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UMW (4588)
13/08/2015
RM9.54
SELL
-
Stock is expected to face further headwinds moving forward esp its automotive division (72% Revenue) which is facing margin pressures on stiffer pricing competition, weakening MYR and weak consumer sentiment. Its languishing O&G division faces risks as 4 of its jack-up rigs (contract expiring end’15) have yet to secure news contracts. Coupled with a weak oil market, we expect charter rates to be significantly lower. Further negativity to its Equipment division is expected from the downturn in mining activities and recent flooding in Myanmar. Trades at 13.4x FY16 PER vs 8.4x peer average (Auto sector), we recommend a Sell.
(SPK)
 
 
 
Calls for  AUGUST WEEK 1/ WEEK 2 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
SUPERMX (7106)
05/08/2015
RM2.46
TAKE PROFIT
RM2.05
RM2.06
-16.3%
PARAMON (1724) 
05/08/2015
RM1.93
ACCUMULATE
RM2.50
RM1.70
-12.0%
KAREX (5247)
07/08/2015
RM3.55
TAKE PROFIT
BB RM - 3.10
RM3.09
-13.0%
HOVID (7213)
07/08/2015
RM0.485
BUY on weakness
RM0.555
RM0.415
-14.5%
PESTECH (5219)
10/08/2015
RM5.91
TAKE PROFIT
BB RM – 5.26
RM5.38
-9.0%
GENTING (3182)
10/08/2015
RM7.98
SELL
BB – RM7.20
RM7.63
-4.4%
PCHEM (5183)
11/08/2015
RM6.01
TRIM
BB RM – 5.30
RM5.98
-0.5%
SCIENTEX (4731)
11/08/2015
RM7.20
TRIM
BB – RM6.60
RM6.87
-4.6%
KLK (2445)
12/08/2015
RM21.48
TRIM
-
RM21.24
-1.2%
PPB (4065)
12/08/2015
RM15.32
TRIM
-
RM15.12
-1.4%

 

 

PERFORMANCE ALERT
STOCK
Initiation dates
Initiation price
Target Price
Action
Returns
TOPGLOV (7113)
08/06/2015
RM5.47
-
Trading Sell
-
XINHWA (5267)
03/08/2015
RM1.03
1.20
BB
-

 

Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral