Thursday, August 28, 2014

Market Roundup | 27 August 2014


FBMKLCI   1872.38   +10.56pts   (+0.57%)     Volume  2.636b   Value 2.406b
 
1)  The KLCI rebounded today helped by heavyweights GENM +4.49%, CIMB +0.97%, PETGAS +1.89%, HLBANK +3.28% as the index rose +10pts following the stronger US market overnight after consumer confidence spurred the S&P to close above the 2000pts mark. In the regional market, bourses were mixed as the NIKKEI +0.09% closed flat following the weaker yen overnight, the HSI -0.62% fell just ahead of the China Manufacturing numbers next week whilst the SHCOMP +0.11% closed slightly higher. In the local scene, construction sector -1.30% loss the most ground as GAMUDA -3.04%, MUDAJYA -6.14%, WCT -2.72% weighed the index down. Market breadth was skewed towards the negative today as loser beat gainers today by 439 : 410. Futures closed at 1876 (4pts premium).
 
2) Heavyweights : GENM +4.94% RM4.67, CIMB +0.97% RM7.25, PETGAS +1.89% RM22.64, HLBANK +3.28% RM14.46, SKPETRO +1.62% RM4.37, IOICORP +1.48% RM4.80,GENTING +1.04% RM9.66, AMBANK -0.73% RM6.74.
 
3) DBT : KRETAM 25.998mil @ R<0.50 (1.38% PUC @ RM7.5% discount), JAG 20mil @ RM0.21 (2.12% PUC), SNTORIA 5.9mil @ RM1.40 (1.34% PUC @ 9.7% discount), YINSON 3mil @ RM2.93.
 
4) Situational:-
MUDAJYA -6.14% RM2.29 -  Despite the weaker results posted by the group, Mudajaya Corp Bhd's wholly-owned subsidiary Oracle International Co. Ltd has been awarded a US$118.8 million (RM375.4 million) offshore equipment procurement works contract by Amihan Energy Corp (AEC). Mudajaya said the offshore equipment procurement works is for the 62MW wind energy farm in Cebu, the Philippines and will commence two months from the date of notice to proceed given by AEC and the completion date is 18 months from the commencement date.
 
5) RHBCAP
 
6 months  Total Income +4.1% RM2.9b   Net +31.2% RM1.007b   EPS 39.5 sen
 
                   In line with Cons(f) RM2.002b
 
Total income increased 4.1% from strong double-digit growth (+20.5%) in Islamic banking income and higher by 4.3% in net interest income.
 
Conventional gross loans rose 11.8% with a lower net interest margin of 2.29% compared to 2.33% in the previous quarter contributed to increase in net interest income.
 
Overall, net profit increased by 31.2% year-on-year to RM1.0 billion underpinned by healthy total income growth, higher write back of impairment on other assets and significant improvement in the loans impairment charges. For the first half of 2014,allowance for impairment on loans and financing decreased significantly to RM71.6million from RM299.4 million recorded in the same period last year. This was mainly due to individual impairment allowance made on certain corporate accounts in the preceding corresponding period and one time bad debts written off pertaining to the refinement of application of MFRS 139 in last year. In line with business expansion, manpower cost increased 14% on the back of growth in employee strength & appointment of key senior personnel.
 
For the first six months of 2014, the Group recorded strong loans growth of 8.8% to RM132.5 billion. The growth was broad based, predominantly from purchase of securities, purchase of residential properties and working capital.
 
Asset quality strengthened further with impaired loans ratio improved to 2.45% vis-à-vis 2.81% in December 2013.
 
The Group’s liquidity and funding position remained healthy with loans-to-deposits ratio stood largely unchanged at 88.6%. For the first six month of the year, customer deposits expanded at a healthy rate of 8.6%, boosted by 10.0% growth in Current Account balances. Meanwhile, Savings Accounts balances increased by 4.1% over the same period. CASA composition was at 23.3% as at 30 June 2014.
 
The Group has successfully launched several initiatives under the IGNITE 2017 transformation programme during 2014 which provides a strong foundation for the positive momentum of the transformation programme which aims to grow the Group into a leading multinational financial services group by 2020. Barring unforeseen circumstance, the Group expects 2014 performance to be better than 2013.
 
RHBCap remains a buy on valuation  basis with prospective p/bk of 1.26x, however as the final details of the merger deal with CIMB & MBSB are still pending, we advocate a hold for now.
 
6) Market: expect institutional stocks to be well supported ahead of the month-end closing activities.

Morning Call | 27 August 2014


FLOWS
Wednesday, 27 August, 2014
BUY
SKPETRO, TM, CIMB
SELL
GENTING, UEMS, MAYBANK
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
CBIP (7076)
27/8/2014
RM4.68
BUY
RM5.49
CBIP (RM4.68) - CBIP is a proxy to the plantation sector that is able to withstand the CPO price volatilities as plantation companies will still continue with capex on new mills even in times of low CPO prices. CBIP’s 1H results came in within consensus and is expected to accelerate in 2H as it usually recognizes the bulk of its billings in the latter half. Currently group’s manufacturing division stood at RM488mil asa of end of March 2014 which would drive earnings for more than a year. While current orderbook stood at approx 160mil, we’re expecting to clinch another 200-300mil worth this year(where half of the orders were for its retro-fitting division); paired with an improving margin from its patented technology and a net cash of 132mil warchest gives it plenty of options for capex in the future. Upcoming catalyst includes, more contracts coming from Africa, Central/South America and Papua New Guinea, Indonesia which has a mature areas of oil palm which resulted in higher demand for palm mills. Similiarly, CBIP has announced a 1-for-1 bonus issue (data TBA) which could should also limit the downside to the stock. Currently trading at a only 12.7x PE for FY14 and 12x for FY15 which is relatively lower sector average of 15x. BUY with a TP of RM5.49 based on 14x PE for FY15 as we expect to see more contract flows in 2H.
(RL)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UOADEV (5200)  
27/8/2014
RM2.10
BUY on weakness
RM2.40
UOADEV (RM2.10) – While the group’s set of results missed street estimates due to weaker than expected billings and higher dev cost due to new project start ups, the group has launched Southbank Residences and Sentul Village 2Q14 which will see a conversion into unbilled sales by 3Q. Looking ahead, new launches in the pipline includes Desa Business Suites, Kepong V (Phase1) and Jalan Ipoh Land (Phase1) of combined GDV of RM900m. Also, while not confirmed, news flows regarding the reintroduction of the DIBS scheme might act as a rerating factor for the group as they were one of the few names that were significantly affected by the abolishing of the scheme. UOA has low borrowings and has a net cash position of RM373mil; in which the group is expected to maintain its div pay out of 7.1% for FY15. Trading at 7.6x PE and 44% discount to RNAV. We advocate a BOW amidst short term pressure from its weaker quarterly results. 
(RL)
 
 
Calls for AUGUST WEEK 3/ WEEK 4 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
SILKHLD (5078)
20/8/2014
RM1.11
BUY
RM1.25
RM1.04
-6.4%
PANTECH (5125)  
20/8/2014
RM1.06
ACCUMULATE
RM1.25
RM1.04
-1.9%
TM(4863)
21/8/2014
RM6.24
ACCUMULATE
RM6.80
RM6.25
+0.1%
MISC (3816)  
21/8/2014
RM6.91
TRIM
-
RM6.94
+0.4%
SURIA (6521)
22/8/2014
RM2.61
ACCUMULATE
RM3.25
RM2.62
+0.3%
FABER (1368)  
22/8/2014
RM3.30
ACCUMULATE
RM3.92
RM3.52
+6.6%
ALAM (5115)
25/8/2014
RM1.45
ACCUMULATE
RM1.65
RM1.41
+2.8%
AIRPORT (5014)  
25/8/2014
RM7.91
TRIM
BB- RM7.50
RM7.65
-3.3%
UZMA (7250)
26/8/2014
RM3.43
Trading BUY
RM4.00
RM3.40
-0.9%
SCIENTX(4731)  
26/8/2014
RM6.30
TRIM
BB- RM6.00
RM6.26
-0.7%
 
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral