Tuesday, May 26, 2015

Morning Call | 26 May 2015


FLOWS
Tuesday, 26 May, 2015
BUY
GAMUDA, IJM, ASTRO
SELL
AMBANK, SKPETRO
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
PHARMA (7081)
26/05/2015
RM6.98
TRIM
RM6.34
The share price has risen c45% since February, largely on the back of Co being the main beneficiary as the sole concession holder to purchase, store, supply and distribute approved drugs/medical products to government hospitals & clinics nationwide. Valuation appears rich now at 17x & 16.5x FY12/15 &16, compared to its earnings growth of just 4%. Ahead, there is potential earnings disappointment from the spending it has to make for the pharmacy information system (PhIS) in government hospitals (higher amortization charges ) & increased competition from other local drug makers who are expanding rapidly to compete for government tender offers. Also worthy to note that Co may review its dividend payout (currently c4% yield) as it’s free cash flow has dipped into negative territory in 1Q15 & could remain under pressure from the PhIS spending. – Trim (Buyback at RM6.34, 15x FY15).
(AK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GDEX (0078) 
26/05/2015
RM1.51
Trading BUY
RM1.70
The share price has eased c18% over the past month. In the recent Q3 results, volume growth remained strong on increased contribution from the e-commerce segment (which still only constitutes c15% of revenue), an exposure of which is still at an early stage & should be the group’s earnings driver going forward. Notably, an increasing number of new e-commerce sites are being set up as more businesses are now selling their products online given the competitive pricing they can offer & intermediary costs are trimmed. Outlook remains rosy ahead for the group with minimal capex outlay relative to its strong operating cash flow churn. Trading close to it’s 4-month support with RSI @ 31 – Trading Buy( TP RM1.70).
(AK)
 
 
Calls for  MAY WEEK 3 / WEEK 4 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
SASBADI (5252)
19/05/2015
RM2.37
TRIM
RM2.10
RM2.28
-3.8%
CHINWEL (5007) 
19/05/2015
RM1.52
ACCUMULATE
RM1.86
RM1.60
+5.2%
PMETAL (8869)
20/05/2015
RM2.87
ACCUMULATE
RM3.50
RM2.65
-7.7%
SALCON (8567) 
20/05/2015
RM0.85
ACCUMULATE
RM1.05
RM0.84
-1.2%
BRAHIMS (9474)
21/05/2015
RM0.93
TRADING BUY
RM1.20
RM0.935
+0.5%
STAR (6084) 
21/05/2015
RM2.51
ACCUMULATE
RM2.80
RM2.56
+1.9%
GASMSIA (5209)
22/05/2015
RM2.80
TRIM
RM2.40
RM2.74
-2.2%
DAYANG (5141) 
22/05/2015
RM2.44
BUY
RM2.80
RM2.40
-1.7%
MUHIBBAH (5703)
25/05/2015
RM2.58
BUY
RM3.20
RM2.45
-5.1%
HUAYANG (5062) 
25/05/2015
RM2.09
BUY
RM2.09
RM2.06
-1.5%

 

 

PERFORMANCE ALERT
STOCK
Initiation dates
Initiation price
Target Price
Action
Returns
GHLSYS (0021)
31/3/2015
RM0.96
RM1.15
Take Profit
19.7%
MATRIX (5236)
3/4/2015
RM2.73
RM3.12
Take Profit
14.2%
SKPETRO (5218)
15/4/2015
RM2.40
RM2.75
Take profit
14.5%
UNISEM (5005)
22/4/2015
RM2.60
BB – RM2.30
Trading buy
-
SKPRES (7155)
8/5/2015
RM0.845
RM1.00
Take profit
19.5%
ECONBHD (5253)
8/5/2015
RM1.02
RM1.22
Trading sell
12.7%
EDUSPEC (0107)
12/5/2015
RM0.37
RM0.42
Trading sell
8.1%

 

Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral