Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Morning Call | 15 May 2012

MORNING CALL                                       15 MAY 2012

FLOWS;

BUYS: CIMB, Digi, BAB

SELLS: Gamuda, Mudajaya, PChem

Technical Stock Alert;
MISC (RM4.24) - Price has fallen to almost its decade low ahead of 1Q results due out tomorrow. RSI has plummeted to 11.5 while the divergence gap between its SMA 200 of RM6.14 is a whopping RM2.00. For its 1Q due out tomorrow, numbers are expected to trail consensus number of RM900m full year considerably as the container shipping division which will effectively cease in the 1H has been running on poor load factors in the past few months as clients have shifted their business to other carriers after MISC announced ceasing operations this year. Tank and Container shipping also continues to face a difficult market of oversupply with the bright spot. Recent weakness in oil prices have also help ease Bunker Fuel cost  which peaked around USD750/ mtn to currently USD665/ mtn. Every USD50 fall in bunker rates translates to a corresponding USD10m movement in MISC's bottom line. Trading now at 0.84x P/Bk, BOW for a recovery in the 2H.

Axiata (RM5.39) - A stellar out performer this year on the back of better payout from the company. Its price touched a new high of RM5.44 recently ahead of its ex date on the 28 May for its declared 15sen T.E dividend. This is an opportune time to take profits on this stock ahead of results which will reflect headwinds faced especially in the Indian sub continent. Track for any weakness below the RM5.34 levels as this represents a violation of the upward support trendline since mid Feb this year. A dip below this level could see the stock retrace rapidly back to around the RM5.20 levels.