Friday, June 29, 2012

Morning Call | 29 June 2012

MORNING CALL                                       29 JUNE 2012
FLOWS;
 
BUYS: CIMB, Digi, BAB

SELLS: Gamuda, Mudajaya, PChem

Technical Stock Alert;
MISC (RM4.54) - Its price performance has exceeded out initial target of RM4.30 since our call on 15 June at RM3.91. RM3.91.Retracement analysis from a lo of RM3.86 & high of RM5.45 its 50% rebound target is RM4.66 and 61.8% RM4.84. With RSI approaching 70 and MACD diverging up, we view current levels as a trading sell although we remain bullish on a 2-3 year scale when Petronas begins shipping Canadian shale Gas into Asia. Trading sell with an initial buy back level below RM4.20
(AL/DN)

DAYANG (RM1.95) - Stk has retraced from recent high of RM2.20 down to current strong support lvls despite recent newsflow on its 11.5% owned Perdana's decision to sell its 26.9% stake in Penergy to Waseong. This finally enables Perdana to clean up its balance sheet and gives Dayang access to Perdana's large fleet of vessels which will be instrumental to Dayang as it remains a leading contender to secure hookup and commissioning contracts worth RM6.5bn from Pan Malaysia and Shell in 2H12. This will significantly enhance its RM1.4bn OB. Technically oversold with RSI at 36, PER 11x-Buy. 
(LJN)


News Bits | 29 June 2012

Highlights of the day
§  Gamuda (Results Review): 3QFY12: Results met expectations (Maintain HOLD, TP: RM3.53) [download report]
Gamuda’s 9MFY12 results came in within both our and consensus expectations, well on track to beat last FY11’s net profit of RM425.4m. Despite its property earnings having gone up since the start of FY12, the annualised pretax profit growth in the segment has slid to 51% in 3QFY12 from 138% in 1QFY12, possibly due to weakening buyer sentiment amid global economic uncertainty. We think that Gamuda would mitigate any further downside risk faced by its property division via faster profit recognition from works on the 81%-completed Northern double-tracking project, which is expected to peak about 2 quarters from now. Maintain HOLD with target price at RM3.53 based on our sum-of-parts valuation.

§  UMW Holdings (Company Update): Set for full gear (HOLD, TP: RM9.70) [download report]
We resume coverage on UMW Holdings with a Hold call and target price of RM9.70 based on the sum-of-parts valuation. The Group’s automotive division will remain the key revenue generator as it continues to dominate both the national and non-national car segment. In addition, the O&G division managed to return to black in 1Q12, recording a PBT of RM29.9m supported by additional contributions from Naga 3 and Hakuryu 5 rigs and higher revenue from oilfield products and services. We expect stable earnings for UMW’s equipment and manufacturing & engineering divisions.

Other reports
§  Newz Bits [download report]

Malaysian news
§  Axiata: Celcom in tie-up with Transnasional
§  UMW Holdings: Unit to acquire another jack-up drilling rig
§  IJM Corp: To appeal with revised plan for highway extension
§  Parkson: Investing RM48m in 5 stores in Indonesia
§  KLCC Property: Management to explore KLCCP REIT
§  Mah Sing: Interested in RRI land
§  Muhibbah: Surprised by CIMB move
§  Perdana Petroleum: Wins RM86m job
§  TH Heavy Engineering: Expects to boost its order book
§  Crest Builder: To develop MRB land
§  Sumatec: Halim to acquire Sumatec’s troubled assets
§  Building Materials: Government to probe steel wire rods import
§  Construction: MRT Corp awards 2 more contracts
§  Oil & Gas: Petronas to buy Progress Energy for RM17bn

Global news
§  US: Unemployment claims hover near yearly high
§  US: Economy grew 1.9% in 1Q2012 on consumer spending
§  Europe: Hollande withholds giving full endorsement of the growth pact
§  Europe: IMF may consider Greek loan measures changes after visit
§  Europe: Euro-area confidence slumps, German unemployment rises
§  South Korea: Government announces bigger fiscal response to Europe growth threat


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Thursday, June 28, 2012

Market Roundup | 28 June 2012

FBM30  1594.24  -7.65 pts (0.48%)        Volume   1.56b    Value RM2.74b

1) The local bourse fell in early trading & remained depressed thereafter, as optimism about positive US economic reports was overshadowed by disagreements amongst European leaders ahead of a summit on the region's debt crisis today. Market interest was focused on FGV which made it's debut on the KLSE, ending the day with a commendable 16% premium over it's IPO price of RM4.55 after touching an intraday high of RM5.46. It made up 50% of total value traded for the day. The property sector +0.32% bucked market trend, led primarily by KLCCP+12%. The broader was negative, with losers thumping gainers 477:248. Futures closed 1592 pts (2.24 pts disc)  .

2) Heavyweights: MRCB-2.8% RM1.77, BAT-1.6% RM55.10, MHB-1.3% RM5.17, IOI-1.2% RM5.14, GENM-1.1% RM3.52, PBBANK-1% RM13.76, MISC+2.7% RM4.54, WCT+2.9% RM2.45, GAMUDA+0.6% RM3.46.

3) DBT: LUSTER 70.9m @ RM0.14, KURASIA 27m @ RM0.635, PREMIER 15m @ RM0.40 ( 5% premium).

4) Situationals:
IJM -0.6% RM5.08 : after Co announced that the Govt, via the Public Private Partnership unit (PPP), has decided not to proceed with the proposed 9.6km extension of the NPE. The Cabinet had earlier approved the project in April 2011. The alignment, costing, concession terms & financial closing have yet to be sorted out on the project. The NPE is 100% owned by IJM Corp.

WCT +2.9% RM2.45: Announced that Dubai based Meydan LLC has filed a civil suit against WCT and it's JV partner Arabtec Construction LLC in their long standing dispute over the construction of Nad Al-Sheba racecourse. In a Bursa filing, WCT said Meydan has filed a civil claim of 3.5b UAE Dirham ( RM3b) against the WCT-Arabtec JV.

5) CREST BUILDER
Crest Builder Holdings Berhad, through its 51% subsidiary, Landasan Bayu Sdn Bhd, received a Letter of Intent from Lembaga Getah Malaysia (Malaysian Rubber Board) for the Proposed Development on Lot 76, Seksyen 88, Bandar Kuala Lumpur.Lot 76, located at the intersection of Jalan Ampang and Jalan Jelatek,measures approximately  19,247.34 square metres in area. Landasan Bayu Sdn Bhd, is a 51:49% joint venture between Crest Builder Sdn Bhd and Tindakan Juara Sdn Bhd.

The Proposed Development is a mixed development, comprising three 28 storey Apartment and SOHO Towers, a 33 storey Corporate Tower and a 6 storey Boutique Retail Mall, complete with the infrastructure, common facilities and common services.

The Development is expected to commence physical works in 2013, and is expected to be completed in 2018.The Proposed Development is expected to have an estimated Gross Development Value (GDV) of RM1.33bn, based on a plot ratio of 1:8.0. The estimated Gross Floor Area of the Development is expected to be about 1.65 million square feet.

Under the Proposed Development Agreement, Lembaga Getah Malaysia (MRB) is entitled to RM300m in a mixture of both cash entitlement as well as completed property entitlement. +ve this comes hot on the heels of its similar business model on its tie
up with Prasarana to develop the Dang Wangi LRT station with a GDV of RM1.04bn where Prasarana will be entitled to 21.1% of the GDV. Both these projects will catapult CrestBld immediately into the big league development from its traditional construction base. Trading BUY

6) Market - Main local funds are likely to maintain buying support tomorrow ahead of 2012 1H closing but with no expectations of a solution coming from the Euro Summit over the week end, focus will return to the unsustainable sovereign debt issue hence we continue to recommend a sell into strength at this juncture.

Morning Call | 28 June 2012

MORNING CALL                                       28 JUNE 2012
 
FLOWS;

BUYS:    PetGas, CIMB, UEMLand

SELLS:    UMW, TNB, Axiata

Technical Stock Alert;
1)      Glomac (RM 0.855) - Glomac just announced FY12 net profit of 85.8mil vs 62.9mil (+32%) from a year ago. Revenue for the FY12 (RM655.61mil) is almost 10% higher than previous year. It's said that the group's improvement was due to on-going sales and development projects in various developments. Looking ahead Glomac will be launching its Glomac Puchong GDV worth 2bn by the end of the year. Outlook for the group's growth for FY13 will get a boost from its unbilled sales of RM731mil for 4Q fy12. Management has set a goal to grow Glomac's market cap to RM 1bil (translating to RM1.48/shr) from current RM600mil in the next 3 years by means of M&A exercise besides organic growth. Glomac has development landbanks of 200 acres in Sungai Buloh, adjacent to Bandar Saujana Utama and 192 acres in Dengkil for a new township project worth RM800mil each. Price has seen a steady recovery after touching a low of 77sen in mid May. Immediate resistance of 88sen with a target of RM1.00. Buy on weakness.
(RL/DN)

2)      FajarBaru  (RM0.86) - Recent short rally from 84.5sen to RM1.16 was just as quickly snuffed out with the price coming  straight back down to these levels. This has seen its RSI dive from an extreme level of 80- back down to below neutral of 42. Weak last quarter numbers which partially explain the low trading levels were due to delays in its LRT extension projects. They are one of the front runners to secure Klang Valley MRT station contracts to add to its existing order book of RM900m. BUY for a move back to a normalized level of RM1.00.

News Bits | 28 June 2012


Highlights of the day
§  YTL Corporation (Initiating Coverage): A regional powerhouse (BUY, TP: RM2.44) [download report]
After a lackluster performance in CY11, YTL Corporation’s stock hit an inflexion point at the start of this year, fuelled by the positive response from investors towards the recent privatisation of its subsidiary YTL Cement Bhd, which led to improved free float of YTL Corp shares and an increase in the stock’s weightage on the MSCI Asia ex-Japan Index to 2.2%. From a recent meeting with the management, we gather that it is in YTL Corp’s long-term agenda to progressively increase its stake in its key operating subsidiaries such as YTL Power International Bhd and possibly take some of them private. The key rationale behind this is to step up YTL Corp’s annual dividend inflow from its subsidiaries which would allow more room for the company to give more generous dividend payouts. Initiate coverage on YTL Corp with a BUY call and potential sum-of-parts target price of RM2.44.

Other reports
§  Newz Bits [download report]

Other Malaysian news
§  MMHE: Clinches RM278m Sarawak Shell contract
§  WCT: Meydan counterclaims RM3bn from WCT-Arabtec JV
§  Maybank: Ceased to be substantial shareholder of Luster
§  Axiata: New plan expected to boost Celcom's user base
§  Maxis: Signs strategic partnerships to deliver IPTV service
§  Tan Chong: MD resigns
§  IJM: To appeal NPE decision
§  AirAsia: Virgin Atlantic exits AirAsia X
§  TSH: Proposal will create millionaires in PUPB
§  Kurnia: Undecided on utilisation of RM1.6bn cash pile
§  Integrax: Big plans for Lumut
§  Masteel: Signs RM500m deal with Trafigura
§  Digistar: Moving to main board today and to start new ops
§  Scomi Group: To tender US$1bn O&G contracts next year
§  Guan Chong: Gets SGX nod for listing prospectus
§  APH: Project to be tendered out

Global news
§  US: Slowdown concern ebbs on durables, home sales
§  US: Pending sales homes climbed more than forecast
§  Europe: Merkel shuts door to euro bonds in rebuff to Rajoy on Spain

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