Thursday, June 26, 2014

Market Roundup | 26 June 2014


 
FBMKLCI   1889.97    +0.42pts    (0.02%)     Volume  1.420b   Value 1.956b
 
1)The KLCI closed flat overnight after trading in the negative territory thruout the session; this was inline with the stronger US market that rebounded from a 3 day losing streak shrugging off the sharpest economic contraction in 4 years. In the regional market, bourses rebounded today led by the HSCEI +1.54% after all but one stock in the index posted gains today, HSI +1.45%, SHCOMP +0.65%, STI +0.52%, NIKKEI +0.27% also posted gains just before the release of CHINA industrial profits data tomorrow & manufacturing data on Monday. In the local market, INDUSTRIAL index +0.39% was amongst the biggest gainers today boosted by PPB +1.89%, MAS +5.12%, MISC +0.46%. Market breadth was negative with losers beating gainers by 414 : 387. Futures closed at 1892.5 (3 pts premium).
 
2) Heavyweights : PBBANK -0.59% RM19.90, FGV +0.23% RM4.25, IHH  -0.685% RM4.35 , DIGI +0.35% RM5.73, GENTING +1.10% RM10.10, SKPETRO +1.14% RM4.41, PPB +1.89% RM15.08, PETDAG +1.82% RM24.60.
 
3) DBT : JAG 15 mil2 RM0.38 (2.308% PUC), PNEPCB 5mil @ RM1.10 (7.605% PUC @ RM15.7% premium).
 
4) Situational:-
BPLANT +1.87% RM1.63 - Boustead Plantations Bhd opened six sen above its offer price of RM1.60 when it made its debut on the Main Market today. The new IPO saw 89mil traded in the market but could only record a 1.87% today. The company owns, co-owns and leases a total of 83,635.9ha in Peninsular Malaysia, Sabah and Sarawak with an annual fresh fruit bunches production of one million tonnes.
 
5) Pengerang/ Dialog
 
During the opening ceremony of Pengerang Independent Terminal S/B (PITSB), the PM was quoted to have said that PITSB may invest another RM16b in the next 15 years to further develop the area for future demand. It is projected that the expansion of the independent terminals would increase the current capacity of 1.3m cu metres to 10m cu metres in the next 10 years. The PM said that the management is conducting a feasibility study to add an LNG terminal in Pengerang and the Federal Government is prepared to render the necessary support for building a new LNG trading terminal. Dialog has clarified that the planned LNG terminal is not for LNG regasification but is for traders to store LNG cargoes and resell them on the international market when prices are attractive.
 
+ve for Dialog who has a 46% stake in PITSB (Holland’s Royal Vopak 44% & Johor State Govt 10%) as it will further boost the DCF value of this 60 years concession with its additional recurring income and also provide opportunities for EPCC contracts as seen from the terminal Phase 1a EPCC jobs contribution to Dialog’s recent results.
 
6) Market: Ahead of the half-year closing on Monday, market is expected to grind higher.
 

Morning Call | 26 June 2014


FLOWS
Thursday, 26 June, 2014
BUY
SKPETRO, PBBANK, SIME
SELL
UMW, GENM, IHH
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
ARMADA (5210)
26/6/2014
RM3.52
ACCUMULATE
RM4.03
Armada (RM3.52) – is likely to test the recent low of RM3.49 to complete a 5-wave correction from a 2/4/14 RM4.03 high. Yesterday trading saw an increase in volume with significant portion of the volume being OMTM crossings which signify that block buyer(s) have found the prices appealing at current levels. We rate this last leg of correction as a low risk area to start accumulation of the stock before the sellers are exhausted. Armada looks set for a sharp improvement in bottomline for FY15 with 2014 being such a busy year compared to 2013. After Armada Claire FPSO set sail in Feb’14, the company is working on the conversion works of Armada C7 FPSO (target completion by 3Q14) and Kraken FPSO (target completion by 1H16). Concurrently, Armada is actively bidding for 10 FPSO prospects worldwide. Notable mentions are Eni’s East Hub project off Angola (USD1.5b) and Husky’s Madura development off Indonesia (USD1.2b) where Armada is tipped as the frontrunner. Sentiment on Armada was affected by the lower reported profit due to the change in accounting policy this year from treating all FPSO contracts as operating leases (recognition of revenue & profit from the conversion period) to treating longer tenure, large scale FPSO projects as financial leases (minimal recognition of recognition of revenue & profit during the conversion period) but has no impact on the company’s underlying project economics, i.e. project cash flow & IRR. Armada’s recent RM1.5b Sukuk debt raising exercise will reduce its conventional debt to about 25% of its total assets, well below the Syariah threshold of 33%, hence management’s initial deliberate attempt to get back to the Syariah list. Armada trades at FY15 & FY16 PER of 16.8x & 14.5x respectively, significantly lower than its historical PER of 28.1x. Accumulate
(PT)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
KULIM (2003)
26/6/2014
RM3.46
TRADING BUY
RM3.98
Kulim (RM3.46) – a potential crystallization of investments in New Britain Palm Oil Ltd (NBPOL) & E.A Technique (M) Bhd (EAT) and the potential distribution of special dividends post the unlocking of value are rationale for a trading buy call on Kulim. EAT is the oil & gas division of Kulim and is scheduled to be listed in the second half of 2014. EAT is involved in the transportation of clean petroleum products and upstream exploration support for oil majors. It has a total fleet of 32 marine vessels, including 9 vessels chartered from third parties, and has an outstanding order book of RM1b. Kulim has a 49% stake in NBPOL and it has been reported that 7 major listed plantation players in Malaysia & Asean are interested to bid for Kulim’s stake. Now is an opportune time to buy for a trade before the bidding process commences in the first week of July. The charts are also indicating better days ahead with NBPOL breaking above the stubborn GBP4.27 resistance, confirming a bullish flag pattern, and Kulim reclaiming its SMA200 at RM3.44. Recent Bursa filings have reported that KWAP has been accumulating Kulim. Trading buy
(PT)
 
 
Calls for  JUNE WEEK 3/ WEEK 4 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
TUNEINS (5230)
19/6/2014
RM2.34
ACCUMULATE
RM2.60
RM2.30
-2.6%
JTIASA (4383)
19/6/2014
RM2.49
ACCUMULATE
RM2.94
RM2.58
+3.6%
PERDANA (7108)
20/6/2014
RM1.80
ACCUMULATE
RM2.10
RM1.89
+5.0%
ALAM (5115)
20/6/2014
RM1.56
ACCUMULATE
RM2.10
RM1.57
+0.6%
CBIP (7076)
23/6/2014
RM4.40
BUY
RM5.10
RM4.44
+1.0%
HOHUP (5169)
23/6/2014
RM1.41
BUY
RM2.30
RM1.38
-2.1%
KUB (6874)
24/6/2014
RM0.555
TRADING BUY
RM0.725
RM0.535
-3.7%
GKENT (3204)
24/6/2014
RM1.90
TRADING BUY
RM2.67
RM1.85
-2.7%
AHEALTH (7090)
25/6/2014
RM3.81
BUY
RM4.40
RM3.95
+3.6%
FGV (5222)
25/6/2014
RM4.41
BUY
RM4.80
RM4.34 (ex)
-1.6%
 
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral