Thursday, October 23, 2014

Morning Call | 23 October 2014


FLOWS
Thursday, 23 October, 2014
BUY
SKPETRO, YTL, CIMB
SELL
DIGI, MAYBANK, AMBANK
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
ARMADA (5210)
23/10/2014
RM1.47
BUY
RM1.80
Stock expects its recent rights exercise to provide the bottom for the stock as investors capitulate & give up on the stock as were the case for many other unpopular previous GLC-related big caps rights issues. Trades at way below historical valuations at FY15 PER 12.1x & P/bk 1.3x versus historical PER 27.7x & p/bk 3.1x. The bulk of its earnings are secured, coming from FPSOs which are long-term locked-in contracts. Potential  +ve newsflows from 5 outstanding FPSO bids in Africa & S America, new ventures into floating LNG(FLNG) vessel & EOR. Technically has consolidated well over the last week, forming a base with immediate breakout levels at RM1.49/50. Accumulate if < RM1.49, buy aggressively if break above RM1.50.
(PT)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
PCHEM (5183)  
23/10/2014
RM5.93
ACCUMULATE
RM6.45
Group is the remaining core blue which is very oversold with RSI of 14.7%, the lowest level since early Dec'12 when it rebounded 14% in less than 1 month. Valuation is very attractive at 12.8x PER for FY15 vs market PER of 16.5x & historical PER of 16.1x. It provides a yield of @ 4% and is a candidate for year-end window dressing as local GLCs hold more than 80% stake in the company. Management has guided recently that 2H14 results will improve substantially as capacity utilization increases from 65% in 2Q14 to 95% for 2H14 due to major turnaround action plans conducted in 2013. There will also be expansion in capacity next year with the Samur urea plant in Sabah on track to start operations in 1Q15. Accumulate
(PT)
 
 
Calls for SEPT OCT WEEK 2 / WEEK 3 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
MSM (5202)
14/10/2014
RM4.92
TAKE PROFIT
-
RM4.91
-0.2%
UMWOG(5243) 
14/10/2014
RM3.10
ACCUMULATE
RM3.60
RM3.48
+12.2%
UOADEV(5200)
15/10/2014
RM2.10
TRIM
-
RM2.19
+4.2%
PMETAL (8869) 
15/10/2014
RM5.05
ACCUMULATE
RM5.90
RM5.23
+3.5%
PERDANA (7108)
16/10/2014
RM1.66
ACCUMULATE
RM2.40
RM1.56
-6.1%
BURSA (1818) 
16/10/2014
RM7.95
TRIM
-
RM7.91
-0.6%
ASTRO (6399)
20/10/2014
RM3.22
TRIM
-
RM3.21
-0.3%
BJFOOD (5196) 
20/10/2014
RM2.75
ACCUMULATE
RM3.45
RM2.75
0.0%
PENERGY (5133)
21/10/2014
RM2.42
BUY
RM2.80
RM2.42
0.0%
TIMECOM (5031) 
21/10/2014
RM5.00
SELL
BB - RM4.30
RM4.97
-0.2%

 

 

Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral