Thursday, June 18, 2015

Morning Call | 18 June 2015


FLOWS
Thursday, 18 June, 2015
BUY
TM, RHBCAP
SELL
WCT, GENM
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
HEVEA (5095)
18/06/2015
RM3.36
ACCUMULATE
RM4.00
The outstanding Q1 result was boosted by the stronger USD, improved product mix and  lower finance cost. The sharpest improvement was seen in the particleboard division. This was even more impressive given Q1 is a seasonally low period, given the holidays in China. Net gearing has improved sharply q-o-q from 17% at Q4/14 to 9% at Q1/15. Catalyst moving forward includes the proposed stock split (enhanced stock liquidity), higher dividend payout (to be net cash by end 2015) and earnings delivery. Trading at an undemanding 5.1x for FY12/16, we consider the current pullback in share price as opportunity to accumulate - (TP RM3.96 on 6x FY16 EPS)
(AK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SCGM (7247) 
18/06/2015
RM3.32
TRIM
BB – RM2.70
The sharp 27% price increase over the past month, largely on the back of healthy profit margins (as most of costs are denominated in MYR, unlike other packaging players) & the strengthening USD/MYR . Its profit margin of 11% is the highest amongst its peers range of 4-9%. However, price rise has brought valuations up to c18x FY04/15. This seem rich, compared to similar market cap players’ PER of c13-14x. The group also do not have a dividend payout policy although management has guided it is looking to pay an amount translating to c3-4% yield. We believe positives have been adequately reflected in price; Trim into strength, with possible buy-back at RM2.70 (based on 15x FY04/15).
(AK)
 
 
Calls for  JUNE WEEK 2 / WEEK 3 2015
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
RHBCAP (1066)
11/06/2015
RM7.28
BUY
RM8.00
RM7.33
+0.6%
AIRPORT (5014) 
11/06/2015
RM6.19
BUY
RM6.80
RM6.22
+0.4%
TIMECOM (5031)
12/06/2015
RM6.58
TAKE PROFIT
BB – RM5.80
RM6.30
-4.3%
TAANN (5012) 
12/06/2015
RM3.91
ACCUMULATE
RM4.50
RM3.87
-1.1%
HOVID (7213)
15/06/2015
RM0.535
TAKE PROFIT
BB – RM0.47
RM0.505
-5.7%
BPURI (5932) 
15/06/2015
RM0.54
BUY
RM0.66
RM0.535
-1.0%
TAKAFUL (6139)
16/06/2015
RM4.17
SELL into Strength
BB – RM3.36
RM4.01
-3.9%
GAB (3255) 
16/06/2015
RM14.58
Switch
CARLSBRG
RM14.56
-0.2%
SHL (6017)
17/06/2015
RM3.23
BUY
RM4.00
RM3.25
+0.6%
SLP (7248) 
17/06/2015
RM1.21
Switch
TGUAN
RM1.28
+5.7%
 
 
PERFORMANCE ALERT
STOCK
Initiation dates
Initiation price
Target Price
Action
Returns
GHLSYS (0021)
31/03/2015
RM0.96
RM1.15
Take Profit
19.7%
MATRIX (5236)
03/04/2015
RM2.73
RM3.12
Take Profit
14.2%
SKPETRO (5218)
15/04/2015
RM2.40
RM2.75
Take profit
14.5%
UNISEM (5005)
22/04/2015
RM2.60
BB – RM2.30
Trading buy
-
SKPRES (7155)
08/05/2015
RM0.845
RM1.10
Take profit
19.5%
TOPGLOV (7113)
08/06/2015
RM5.47
-
Trading Sell
-
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral