Friday, May 25, 2012

Market Roundup | 24 May 2012

FBM30 1548.25           +8.54points (+0.55%)       Volume 817mil               value 1,311mil   
     
1) KLCI was resilient, bucking the regionals which fell on worries Greece will exit Eurozone with no immediate relief plan for Spain during yesterday's EU meeting. China HSBC manufacturing data also showed contraction for the seventh month. Local market ended at day's high with strong support for key heavyweights led by Tenaga and Maybank. Broader market was positive as advancers led losers 274:386. Futures closed  1541.5 (7 points discount). 
2) Heavyweights: TENAGA+2.03% RM6.54, MAYBANK+0.83% RM8.50, PCHEM+1.55% RM6.55, TM+1.72% RM5.32, SIME+0.53% RM9.50, AIRASIA+2.06% RM3.46, HLBANK+1.33% RM12.20, GENM+1.13% RM3.58 
3) DBT: COMPUGT 3.3mil @ RM0.09, AGLOBAL 2.3mil @ RM0.17 (21% premium) 
4) Situationals:
DELEUM: Company expects to secure contracts worth RM1 billion this year. He said the company had submitted proposals since the third quarter of last year to secure contracts for all three business segments -- power and machinery; oilfield services; and maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO). Orderbook stands at RM650 million which will last us until 2018.
5) KLK
1H MAR 2012  Tover +15.8% RM5.55bn   Net -18% RM588.4m    52sen  25% below cons(f) RM1.57bn The net earnings for the half year slipped 18% to RM588.4 million despite the 15.8% improvement in the Group's revenue to RM5.55 billion.
Plantations profit of RM692.4 million was largely flat.  The average selling prices (ex-mill) achieved for CPO and PK had softened to RM2,777/mt and RM1,613/mt (Todate 2QFY2011: RM2,850/mt and RM1,997/mt) respectively which had been diluted by the Indonesian export duties.
Cost of production, owing to higher wages, had increased and the fair value changes on outstanding derivative contracts was a loss of RM6.0 million (Todate 2QFY2011: gain RM32.7 million) However, the improvement in FFB production and the higher contributions from refinery operations due to better margins had mitigated the decline in profit. 
The group was however brought down by the oleochemical division's profit dropping 71.4% to RM46.6 million (Todate 2QFY2011: profit RM163.0
million) although revenue had improved. Impact of the changes in fair value on outstanding derivative contracts amounted to a loss of RM10.0 million (Todate 2QFY2011: gain RM18.6 million). The persistent weak global macro-economic climate and the stiff competition from Indonesian producers offering at cheaper cost-base products had continued to squeeze margins. Retailing sector incurred a slightly higher loss of RM28.4 million but Crabtree & Evelyn has since been sold in Mar for USD155m which will reap a gain on disposal of USD41m once completed in June. 
Company likely to struggle to meet consensus numbers as its CPO prices continue to trend lower and its oleochemical business continues to face strong competition from Indonesian players who have the huge export duty advantage on the downstream raw materials. This scenario will continue until their downstream facilities in Indonesia, currently in progress, are commissioned in the next financial year. 

6) Market - Short term month end closing could see markets firmer but funds will continue to take upticks as selling opportunities. Bumi Armada is showing signs of reversing its current downtrend with a possible rebound target of RM4.20 especially if it announces the expected FPSO contracts. BUY