Friday, July 6, 2012

Morning Call | 6 July 2012

MORNING CALL                                       6 JULY 2012

FLOWS;

BUYS: Maybank, PChem, Axiata

SELLS: BJtoto, MISC, DRBHcm

Technical Stock Alert;
KIAN JOO (RM2.53) - The share price performance has far exceeded our expectations since our initial call on 2 June at RM1.95 (cum div of 6.25sen div). Although current valuations remain reasonable at 9.4x PE and yield of 5.9%, its price is likely to consolidate with an immediate support of RM2.30. RSI is in an overbought position of 80 and a wide divergence of its LT MACD above the ST. Hence we rate it currently a trading sell but we remain long term bullish with a higher target price of RM2.80 on the back of the commissioning of its new 2 can piece line in Nilai which would add a further 700m cans/year to capacity (with an option to upgrade to 1.5bil cans/year) from the current two old lines of 950m cans. The more efficient new line will enable the company to tap into tie ups again with Coke (with left after the separation with F&N) and Pepsi (who is currently encountering supply problems with KJoo's competitor.)
(DN)

APM (RM4.73) - technically attractive as RSI and MACD severely oversold and uptrend channel intact. Currently at 50SMA support lvl, stock is supported by cash pile of RM361m which translates to PER'12 of mere 4x (ex cash) v auto parts manuf ave PER of 6x and BV RM4.30. Expect a pick up in orders as it's supplying integrated systems to VW commencing in 4Q12. Also, Co needs to utilize S108 tax credits by latest end 2013 which promises an attractive div payout. Current yield ~4.5%. BUY
(LJN)