Thursday, April 25, 2013

Morning Call | 25 April 2013


FLOWS
Thursday, 25 April, 2013
BUY
DIALOG, AFFIN, JCY
SELL
TENAGA, AMMB, YTL
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
BHIC(8133)
25/4/2013
RM2.20
ACCUMULATE
RM2.53
Stock is trading near 6-year low due to delay in award of the new batch of second generation combat vessels following the completion of the last 6 patrol vessels in Dec 2010. Prolonged technical evaluations of weapons, equipment and parts with overseas suppliers was the main reason for this delay. As a result the co shifted focus to building commercial vessels which have lower margins and higher credit risk due to the overcapacity in the commercial shipping sector and shipyards post the global credit crisis. BHIC was landed with 3 chemical tankers built for customers who defaulted due to severe conditions in the industry. In addition, with fair value accounting, an impairment provision of RM30m was made for these tankers in FY12. Currently these tankers are being chartered out but the plan is to dispose of when they have the right price.  The co also suffered cost overruns & late delivery charges from the competitive commercial contracts secured during the tough times. These legacy contracts have been completed and the potential losses have substantially been provided for in the last FY. BHIC may surprise on a significant sustainable turnaround as it is starting on a clean slate and has returned to its roots of focusing on high margin naval defense-related contracts with wins of slightly above RM1bn in the last 6 months, resulting in outstanding gross and net orders of RM10.5b & Rm3.5b respectively. With more surveillance required for Sabah waters, there is naturally more naval shipbuilding and maintenance jobs for BHIC and associate, Boustead Naval Shipyard, the only military yard in the country. Buy before the investment community’s reconnaissance zoomed in on their numbers.
 
MRCB(1651)
25/4/2013
RM1.38
BUY on Weakness
RM1.68
MRCB(1.38) – accumulate as stock has retraced 50% of its up move from the low of 1.21 to 1.54  due to the uncertainty of the impending elections  and the perception of being a politically-linked counter. This is a misconception as EPF has been the largest shareholder (42% stake) for the last decade and is expected to continue to enjoy the support of whichever coalition that wins the elections. The timing is also appropriate as the EGM to approve the recently proposed Nusa Gapurna acquisition will be held in June and this exercise is very positive for MRCB as it addresses its depleting landbank from the KL Sentral project which will be substantially completed in 2014. In addition, 85% of the consideration is settled via the issue of shares priced at 1.55, a 12% premium to the current price. Post the acquisition, MRCB will also be helmed by an entrepreneurial CEO with a 22% interest in the co, who will be better motivated to take the co forward.
 
Calls for APRIL Week 3-4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
WASEONG(5142)
18/4/2013
RM1.63
ACCUMULATE
RM1.84
RM1.65
+1.2%
PANTECH(5125)
18/4/2013
RM0.755
BUY
RM0.85
RM0.745
-1.3%
HSL(6238)
19/4/2013
RM1.54
ACCUMULATE
RM1.74
RM1.50
-2.6%
TAANN(5012)
19/4/2013
RM3.52
BUY on weakness
RM4.10
RM3.52
0.0%
TCHONG(4405)
22/4/2013
RM5.61
Take Profit
RM5.05
RM5.50
-2.0%
MAHSING(8583)
22/4/2013
RM2.28
BUY
RM3.00
RM2.31
+1.3%
SKPETRO(5218)
23/4/2013
RM3.10
BUY on weakness
RM3.80
RM3.07
-1.0%
TOPGLOV(7113)
23/4/2013
RM6.09
Take Profit
RM5.50
RM6.04
-0.8%
AMMB(1015)
24/4/2013
RM6.52
ACCUMULATE
RM7.30
RM6.60
+1.2%
IJMLAND(5215)
24/4/2013
RM2.55
BUY on weakness
RM3.00
RM2.57
+0.7%