Friday, November 22, 2013

Morning Call | 22 November 2013


FLOWS
Friday, 22 November, 2013
BUY
GENTING, GAMUDA, PUNCAK
SELL
TENAGA, SIME, CIMB
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
UEMS (5148)
22/11/2013
RM2.25
BUY
RM2.55
Key support of RM2.21 was successfully tested for the last 2 days and with the volume having declined substantially since it peaked on 20/11/13, there is potential short-term bottom for a trading buy up to the seasonally year-end window dressing rally. UEMS has fallen sharply by 18% in 2 months and is now trading at a 51% discount to RNAV due to the property sector restrictive measures announced during Budget 2014 and a subsequent further state  levy (Johor 2% & Penang possibly 3% from a fixed levy of RM10,000 flat per unit) on purchases by foreigners. At the current price, we are of the opinion that the negatives have been discounted and any positive news of exemption of Medini & Puteri Harbor from some of the measures due to their status as a special economic zone would generate a significant bounce from its oversold position to a more realistic 45% discount to RNAV of RM2.55. Trading buy
(PT/LJN)
 
 
DAYA (0091)
22/11/2013
RM0.365
BUY
RM0.41
Stock has corrected 11% for the last 3 weeks to an attractive valuation of PER 11.1x & 10.1x  for FY14 & FY15 respectively. This is lower than the average valuation of small & mid-caps in the O&G sector of 13.8x in FY14 and Daya’s average 5-year historical PER valuation of 14.1x. In their recent post 3Q13 results conference, management guided of deploying their vessel SD1 to Brazil at a higher charter rate of USD130,00/day vs USD102,000/day to Technip Norge. This however depends on vessel availability as Technip is also negotiating to extend the charter period to >210 days from 100-175 days. Management also mentioned that they have secured the charter of SD3 which is currently under construction. Hence this vessel construction may be expedited for the Brazilian contract. Additional potential driver would be the successful acquisition of a 51% stake in SD2 vessel which the company is currently negotiating. With the impending  10% private placement, the stock is likely to be well supported. Accumulate
(PT/LJN)
 
 
Calls for  NOV Week 2
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
WASEONG (5142)
15/11/2013
RM1.70
ACCUMULATE
RM2.00
RM1.68
+1.2%
PERDANA (7108)
15/11/2013
RM1.94
BUY
RM2.30
RM1.99
+2.5%
TM(4863)
18/11/2013
RM5.16
Trading BUY
RM5.90
RM5.18
-0.3%
SWKPLNT(5135)
18/11/2013
RM2.50
BUY
RM2.90
RM2.56
+2.4%
MAYBULK (5077)
19/11/2013
RM1.71
BUY
RM2.00
RM1.74
+1.7%
FGV (5222)
19/11/2013
RM4.30
BUY
RM4.93
RM4.52
+5.1%
MATRIX (5236)
20/11/2013
RM3.24
Trading SELL
RM2.90
RM3.20
+1.3%
GADANG (9261)
20/11/2013
RM0.99
BUY
RM1.41
RM0.975
+1.6%
TSH (9059)
21/11/2013
RM2.83
Take Profit
RM2.50
RM3.20
+1.3%
HOVID (7213)
21/11/2013
RM0.345
ACCUMULATE on weakness
RM0.41
RM0.975
+1.6%

 

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY