Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Morning Call | 17 December 2013


FLOWS
Tuesday, 17 December, 2013
BUY
PCHEM, SKPETRO, AXIATA
SELL
TM, SIME, HLBANK
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
DRBHCOM (1619)
17/12/2013
RM2.74
BUY
RM3.10
Rallied strongly from RM2.43 to RM2.93 following the inclusion in SC’s list of Syariah-compliant stocks. The stock has since retraced 6.5% from the high and is now trading at the 38.2% retracement support level of its recent rally, a suitable level to resume accumulation of the stock that is showing clear signs of starting a new bull trend. The positive weekly technical indicators confirm the bullish scenario for the next 3-6 months. The fundamentals are also improving with its main division, the Proton-led auto division gaining market share with their new models, Suprima S & Saga SV, due to their competitive pricing vis-à-vis Perodua cars, made possible by cost savings from parts standardisation & streamlining of its supply chain. This is part of the Proton’s 5-year business plan which targets to sell 500,000 cars per annum, including 150,000 units for exports, by 2017/18. Proton also plans to produce a global small car by next year which would help them to further gain back the market share lost to Perodua. Recently, it was reported that Proton will deliver 3,000 units of the new Perdana replacement model to replace the government’s existing fleet. DRB said that they have also received requests from state governments and statutory bodies to make the switch as well. There were recent news flow of impending introduction of mandatory inspection of passenger vehicles. DRB’s subsidiary, Puspakom, which has the sole concession to undertake computerised inspections for all commercial vehicles until 31/8/2024 will likely be the main beneficiary from this move. The recent removal of big cap institutional stocks like Bumi Armada, AirAsia, YTL Power, SPSetia, Tan Chong & MRCB from the Syariah-compliant list will force Syariah-compliant funds to look for alternative stocks to reallocate their funds and DRB will likely be one of the four bigger cap additions that they can switch into. Buy
(PT)
 
 
TAANN (5012)
17/12/2013
RM4.14
BUY
RM4.56
Taann (RM4.14) – the vast improvements in Q3 results versus the 1H13 results illustrated the company’s successful effort at cost management during difficult times of low CPO prices and weak plywood prices. Now that the prices of both CPO & timber have improved, Taann is expected to reap the fruits of its labour with significant rise in margins from both the plantation & timber divisions. In addition, the plantation’s margin will further improve from lower fertiliser cost following the break-up of the potash cartel in mid-2013. Taann is also benefitting from improving FFB production due to the relatively young age profile of its palm. This is particularly advantageous when the big planters in Malaysia & Indonesia are seeing lower production from tree stress & dry weather of the last 2 years. The timber division is also seeing volume growth from global heightening economic activities, especially in Japan. In view of such positive parameters, it is not surprising that Taann’s 2 years compounded annual earnings growth is 51.5%, yet it trades at below market FY14 & FY15 PER of 13.4x & 10.9x. Buy
(PT)
 
 

 
 
Calls for  DEC week 2/week 3
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
KULIM (2003)
10/12/2013
RM3.58
Trading BUY
RM4.00
RM3.57
-0.2%
SEALINK (5145)
10/12/2013
RM0.40
Trading BUY
RM0.50
RM0.39
-2.5%
SUNWAY (5211)
11/12/2013
RM2.68
ACCUMULATE
RM3.20
RM2.66
-0.8%
ENGTEX (5056)
11/12/2013
RM1.68
Trading BUY
RM2.00
RM1.68
0.0%
AIRASIA (5099)
12/12/2013
RM2.36
BUY on weakness
RM3.24
RM2.34
-0.9%
MAYBANK (1155)
12/12/2013
RM10.08
ACCUMULATE
RM11.33
RM9.98
-1.0%
GAMUDA (5398)
13/12/2013
RM4.54
BUY
RM5.00
RM4.51
-0.7%
YTL (4677)
13/12/2013
RM1.62
Trading BUY
RM1.80
RM1.63
+0.6%
MRCB (1651)
16/12/2013
RM1.24
Trading BUY
RM1.40
RM1.25
+0.8%
UEMS (5148)
16/12/2013
RM2.30
BUY
RM2.60
RM2.30
0.0%

 

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY