Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Market Roundup | 27 August 2012

FBM30 1648.13   -0.09points (-0.01%)  Volume 1,238.6mil Value 1,067mil      
 
1) KLCI traded in a tight 3 points range as investors stayed on the sidelines in the absence of action by central banks in US and China while China's industrial companies profits fell for the fourth straight month adding to signs of a slowing China economy. Investors will now look ahead to Bernanke's annual Jackson Hole meeting for any signal of monetary easing. Penny stocks dominated volume led by AGLOBAL+7%, ASUPREM+4% and SCOMI+18%. Market breadth was negative with decliners outpacing gainers 414:344. Futures closed 1649.5pts (1.5pts premium). 
 
2) Heavyweights: IOICORP+1.39% RM5.12, TENAGA+0.88% RM6.87, GENTING+0.78% RM9.07, PETGAS+0.62% RM19.42, DIGI-1.84% RM4.79, BAT-1.88% RM62.60, AXIATA-0.33% RM5.98, YTL-1.08% RM1.84
 
3) DBT: NEXTNAT 25mil @ RM0.10 (28.5% discount), KASSET 3mil @ RM9.08, MRCB 1.5mil @ RM1.73 (3.6% premium)
 
4) Situationals:
 
BONIA-3.86% RM2.49: Chiang Sang Sem (CSS) which is Bonia's Group Executive Chairman cum CEO is in discussion with several parties to acquire certain stakes in Bonia at indicative price for the in the range of RM1.80 to RM2.00 per share.  The Potential Acquisition, when completed, would result in CSS and his family collectively holding more than 50%. CSS together with his family would then be obliged to extend a mandatory general offer to acquire the remaining shares in Bonia at the same price as the Potential Acquisition.
 
5) IOICorp: FY06/12 Rev-4% RM15.6b Net-19% RM1.79b EPS 27.86s Div 17s
 
Results 10% below cons RM1.99b
 
For 12-mths, Group PBT-17% due mainly to translation loss on forex denominated borrowings of RM327m ( FY2011: gain of RM215m) & lower profit from resource based manufacturing segment. These were mitigated by gains on dilution of interest in an associated co of RM124m.
Operating profit from Plantation +4% mainly due to higher CPO prices realized (RM3135 vs RM2945 LY), Resource based manufacturing -36% due to FV differences on derivative contracts. Operating profit from Property -14% due to slower sales take-up rates while Property Investment +5%.
Qoq, PBT-20%, again due to translation losses on forex denominated borrowings, offset by FV gains from investment properties. Operating profit from Plantation+4%, Property +144%, Resource manufacturing-54%.
 
Ahead, outlook remains neutral. Limited FFB growth prospect, compressed margins in downstream division & unexciting property outlook could limit the shares upside. The valuation of about 16X FY13 appears fair given the unexciting earnings growth of 3-5%. HOLD.
 
6) Mkt: sideways quiet trade as markets await hints on policy moves from central bankers at the Jackson Hole conference.