Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Market Roundup | 28 August 2012

FBM30 1647.11    -1.02points (-0.06%)    Volume 1,211mil    Value 1,106.5mil    
1) KLCI was marginally weaker as investors sentiment stayed cautious on unresolved debt crisis in Eurozone while global growth are showing signs of slowing. Japan’s government cut its assessment of its economy adding further weight of a slowing global growth. Penny stocks pared recent gains led by INGENS-20%, DPS-17% as market breadth was negative with losers dominating gainers 460:276. Futures closed 1647.5pts (0.5point premium). 
 
2) Heavyweights: CIMB-0.64% RM7.83, TENAGA-0.73% RM6.82, MAYBANK-0.33% RM9.15, UMW-1.56% RM10.10, HLBANK-1.17% RM13.50, GENTING+0.77% RM9.14, BAT+2.08% RM63.90, PCHEM+0.46% RM6.53
 
3) DBT: PENERGY 57.7mil @ RM1.68 (26.9% PUC, 16.4% discount, Acquisition of stake by WASEONG from Perdana), BONIA 35mil @ RM2.04 (17.36% PUC, 21% discount)
 
4) Situationals:
FAVCO+2.29% RM1.79: Share price rose after 2Q net profit jumped 145% to RM19.75mil. This is due to increased sales from its crane segment and good execution of several high margin projects. Orderbook now stands at RM715.5mil.
 
5) FGV
1H JUNE 2012 Tover +42.1% RM5.25bn   Net -31.7% RM443.4m  10.4sen
10% above if excl LLA  Cons (f) RM1.06bn
 
The 42.1% increase in revenue primarily reflects the sales of CPO by FGVPM beginning on 1 March 2012, offset in part by a decrease in revenue from the downstream segment as a result of tolling agreement following which sales of soy and canola products is no longer recorded. While profit before taxation including fair value changes in LLA liability (RM140.48m) decreased to RM582.3 million. Pretax margin decreased to 11.1% for the half year ended 30 June 2012, compared to 25.7% YOY, primarily reflecting the lower CPO prices and FFB production, increase in replanting, manuring, labour and fertilizer costs, the incurrence of fair value changes in the LLA liability as well as a one off charges relating to IPO of RM40.4 million being share based payment of RM25.7m and other IPO expenses of RM14.7m.
 
Segmental wise all divisions generally saw operating profit dips, with Plantations -55.5% brought down by reduction in CPO prices of RM3,230 per mt in 2012 as compared to RM3,461 per mt in 2011 and lower YTD June FY2012 FFB production of 2.31 million MT as compared to 2.42 million in 2011. The results were also affected by the rise in cost of sales which was primarily due to higher costs of CPO, higher costs relating to replanting and manuring costs, primarily reflecting higher volume of fertilizer used as well as higher fertilizer prices and higher labour costs as a result of new incentive payments to plantation workers effective November 2011.
 
Sugar -28.4% due to increase in raw sugar costs as the purchase price for the raw sugar under the current long-term raw sugar supply contract was higher than that under the long-term raw sugar supply contract in effect in 2011.
 
Margins will continue to be under pressure in the immediate future with the company’s initiative to improve its palm oil trees‟ age profile in accordance with its replanting policy as a total area of 16,000 hectares is expected to be planted by end of 2012.
Expect to continue to underperform due to its relatively high valuations and its un attractive plantation age profile.
 
6) Market – Consolidation range to continue ahead of fresh developments particularly in the US and China on the stimulus front.