Friday, June 21, 2013

Morning Call | 21 June 2013


FLOWS
Friday, 21 June, 2013
BUY
DIALOG, MAYBANK, PBB
SELL
TENAGA, GENM, IOICORP
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
IHH(5225)
21/6/2013
RM4.03
TAKE PROFIT
-
Stock trades at lofty valuations or PER of 47.4x for FY13 and 38.4x for FY14. This is expensive compared to emerging markets (EM) and EM Asia healthcare sector average PER of 19.2x & 19.3x respectively. Even its Asean counterparts of Indonesia & Thailand trade at an average PER of 28.4x for their healthcare sector. With IHH, trading at such high valuations, the positives have been priced in and it is vulnerable to sharp sell-off if there are any adverse changes or if results do not meet expectations. The current volatile markets which are exhibiting signs of turning bearish also does not justify holding to a highly valued stock with minimal or no dividend yield in view of their capex plans. In addition, the violent riots in Turkey will likely affect their operations there as logistics disruptions may cause staff force inadequacies, and medical tourism will also be thwarted by safety concerns. Turkey healthcare sector serves the Middle-East, North African and Eastern European countries. IHH’s Turkey exposure is high, commanding 40% & 36% of Q1’13 turnover & EBITDA respectively. Take profit
(PT)
 

E&O(3417)
21/6/2013
RM1.84
BUY
RM2.05
Stock has pulled back nearly 20% from its recent high of RM2.29, and is trading close to retracement support of RM1.79. At the current level, it is appropriate to begin accumulation of E&O, especially if the weak sentiment allows one to accumulate cheap stocks in size. E&O is trading at 40% discount to RNAV and a forward PER of 14x & 12x for the next 2 years based on market consensus. However, the consensus numbers have yet to impute the recently released plans and guidance by the Deputy MD, where he mentioned that the company is launching RM3-4b worth of projects in the next 2-3 years with PAT of RM270m-350m, as FY12-13 are the years where the foundations have been laid for further expansion and new growth development opportunities. For the FY3/13, E&O reported a PAT of RM137m, hence its price may double in 2-3 years if they achieved their PAT targets and market maintains the same PER valuation for the stock. Buy
(PT)
 
 

Calls for JUNE Week 2 & 3
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
MAYBANK(1155)
14/6/2013
RM10.04
BUY
RM10.58
RM10.36
+3.1%
MRCB(1651)
14/6/2013
RM1.55
BUY
RM1.80
RM1.53
-1.3%
GADANG(9261)
17/6/2013
RM0.81
BUY
RM1.04
RM0.815
+0.6%
DELEUM(5132)
17/6/2013
RM3.06
ACCUMULATE
RM3.50
RM3.10
+1.3%
SUPERMX(7106)
18/6/2013
RM1.91
BUY on weakness
RM2.40
RM1.98
+3.6%
MAHSING (8583)
18/6/2013
RM2.86
BUY
RM3.60
RM2.94
+2.7%
SKPRES(7155)
19/6/2013
RM0.315
BUY
RM0.37
RM0.305
-3.0%
YTLLAND(2577)
19/6/2013
RM1.12
BUY
RM1.36
RM1.09
-2.7%
KKB(9466)
20/6/2013
RM2.10
ACCUMULATE
RM2.80
RM2.00
-4.8%
CANONE(5105)
20/6/2013
RM3.44
ACCUMULATE
RM5.00
RM3.37
-2.1%