Monday, July 22, 2013

Morning Call | 22 July 2013


FLOWS
Monday, 22 July, 2013
BUY
UMW, IOICORP, AAX
SELL
TENAGA, MAXIS, CIMB
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
THHEAVY(7206)
22/7/2013
RM0.945
Trading SELL
RM0.85
The share price has surged c35% over the past month, interest fuelled by several catalysts. These include it’s imminent entry into the FPSO market via its 85% completed Deep Producer 1 (DP1), expansion of its 57 acre fabrication yard in Pulau Indah , it’s 30% stake in derrick pipe lay barge DB30 & strategic partnership with McDermott International for fabrication jobs. The group, one of 7 Petronas’s licensed O&G fabricators has a rather modest O/B of RM220m & T/B of RM2b. The price run up has caused valuation to spike, with PER for FY12/2013 PE at 35x, but expected to fall to 15x & 12x for FY14 & 15. Although PEs for FY14 compares favorably to mid to large cap peers of average 18x, execution risks still prevails on potential earnings growth going forward. RSI at 77 ; Trading Sell ( Buy back at RM0.85, FY14 PE 13x)
(AK)
 

SAM(9822)
22/7/2013
RM2.45
BUY on weakness
RM3.00
The acquisition of Avitron, the aero engine casing manufacturing division of  SAM Singapore in Sept 2012 has made the Group more appealing. Earning is expected to improve strongly, to account for the earning accretion from this new division. Group has repositioned itself from its traditional semiconductor player to a diversified engineering group. The new earning stream from the aerospace division should be able to cushion any shortfall in semiconductor earnings & help stabilize earnings during the technology downcycle, as aerospace business is much less volatile. The division has an OB of RM1.2b wich should last until 2018. Outlook promising, driven by the robust aerospace industry as well as possibility of more synesgistic business acquisitions ( potentially from SAM Singapore) as group is eyeing to expand further in this segment ( with targeted 2/3 earnings contribution , as opposed to ½ currently). However, the share price has moved up c20% over the past week. Trading at PER of c12x FY03/14 ( vs industry’s 12-16x); BOW.
(AK)
 
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Calls for JULY week 2 / week 3
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
WCT (9679)
15/7/2013
RM2.49
ACCUMULATE
RM2.98
RM2.44
-2.1%
JCY(5161)
15/7/2013
RM0.705
Trading SELL
RM0.53
RM0.755
+7.0%
JOHOTIN(7167)
16/7/2013
RM1.97
BUY
RM2.60
RM1.92
-2.6%
GENM(4715)
16/7/2013
RM3.99
Take profit
RM3.68
RM3.86
-3.3%
PRESBHD (5204)
17/7/2013
RM2.11
Trading BUY
RM2.80
RM2.14
+1.4%
HSL(6238)
17/7/2013
RM2.02
BUY
RM2.60
RM2.08
+2.9%
WASEONG (5142)
18/7/2013
RM1.96
BUY
RM2.33
RM1.96
0.0%
MUDAJYA (5085)
18/7/2013
RM2.70
BUY
RM3.44
RM2.69
-0.4%
MAYBULK (5077)
19/7/2013
RM1.85
BUY
RM2.30
RM1.81
-2.1%
DAYA(0091)
19/7/2013
RM0.255
BUY
RM0.295
RM0.265
+3.9%