Thursday, September 26, 2013

Morning Call | 26 September 2013


FLOWS
Thursday, 26 September, 2013
BUY
E&O, MAGNUM, MAYBANK
SELL
BJTOTO, CIMB, MAS
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
GENTING (3182)
26/9/2013
RM10.42
SELL into Strength
RM9.70
The price of this bluechip stock outperformed as it rose 13.8% to the RM10.42 level within the month. We feel that moving forward, the share price might see some selling pressure as we approach the Malaysian Budget 2014 in the month of October where the government will clarify the on-going rumour of a the casino tax hikeof 5% to 30% where every 1% hike in tax could erode earnings by 2.4%- 2.5%. Technical indicators are currently almost at a overbought level as the RSI sits at 67% which is the top range for the year. The KLCI has started correcting for 3 days now; which will eventually translate to Genting. Sell into strength, Buy back at RM9.70 which is the 50 days MA.
(RL)
 
 
TSH (9059)
26/9/2013
RM2.40
BUY on Weakness
RM2.98
The group has a young plantation profile where 77% of its plantation comprises of trees below 7 years (mainly Sabah and Indonesia). Despite the lower CPO prices, their superior FFB growth of 30% yoy and better contribution from its JV with Wilmar should support its earnings growth (19% CAGR for the next 3 years). Besides the upstream and downstream segments, the group is also involved in palm bio-integration activities. Moving forward, the CPO prices might see some recovery as statistic shows that bio-diesel exports in the country has been picking up and inventory stock pile has been on the decline. At current price, stock is trading at 19.6x FY13 and 12x FY14 vs 7 year average of 15x. Buy on weakness with a target of RM2.98 based on 15x PE.
(RL)
 
 

Calls for  SEPT Week 3/ Week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
BURSA (1818)
19/9/2013
RM7.56
BUY
RM8.88
RM7.49
-1.0%
SKPETRO(5218)
19/9/2013
RM3.67
ACCUMULATE
RM4.60
RM3.75
+2.4%
INARI (0166)
20/9/2013
RM0.90
BUY
RM1.01
RM0.89
-1.2%
PANTECH (5125)
20/9/2013
RM0.99
BUY
RM1.10
RM0.975
+1.6%
GAMUDA (5398)
23/9/2013
RM4.59
BUY
RM5.20
RM4.60
+0.2%
UOADEV (5200)
23/9/2013
RM2.21
BUY
RM2.80
RM2.25
+1.8%
BIMB (5258)
24/9/2013
RM4.71
Take Profit
RM4.04
RM4.70
-0.3%
BHIC (8133)
24/9/2013
RM2.44
ACCUMULATE
RM2.80
RM2.41
-1.3%
ZHULIAN (5131)
25/9/2013
RM3.80
TRIM
RM3.37
RM3.82
+0.5%
MUDAJYA (5085)
25/9/2013
RM2.66
ACCUMULATE
RM3.36
RM2.67
+0.3%

 

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY