Thursday, October 3, 2013

Morning Call | 3 October 2013


FLOWS
Thursday, 3 October, 2013
BUY
UMW, POS, PERISAI
SELL
TENAGA, MAXIS, CIMB
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
MAYBULK (5077)
3/10/2013
RM1.83
SELL into strength
RM1.55 - RM1.65
Stock price rallied after the BDIY surged due to significant rise in Chinese iron ore imports but eased after peaking at a 2127 pts high. Historical trend reveals that a seasonal year-end pullback in dry bulk shipping is expected from November onwards as dry bulk shipping is expected to exceed demand growth this year though with a narrow gap. Current prices are trading at 1.06x p/b vs peer average of 0.9x p/b. Technical charts shows the declining of momentum as the MACD threatens to cut down. Suggest to sell into strength and a buyback at 0.9x p/b which is around the RM1.55-1.65 level.
(RL)
 
 
GADANG (9261)
3/10/2013
RM0.825
BUY on weakness
RM1.30
Gadang’s fundamentals remain healthy with orderbook of RM1.4b where 59% of it coming from MRT1 (V2: Kota Damansara – Dataran Sunway), Shah Alam Hospital (RM278m) and RAPID earthworks Package 1 (RM254m) that will provide earnings visibility for the next 3 years, it also recently bagged a 1bil PR1MA which will be stretched out over 9 years. Group also has 134mil (26 sens p/s) which the group plans to expand its utilities division to Indonesia by investing in mini-hydro projects there. At current price, stock is trading at 8.1x multiple and only 6.1x FY14 PE and 5.1x FY15 PE vs sector average of 10x. p/b is only 0.6x. Share price should be supported here after the pick-up in volume (11mil) during the past week (25th September) where the shares traded at vwap of RM0.8325. We continue to like this counter for its solid fundamentals, growth story as well as visible earnings going forward. Buy on weakness with an immediate TP of RM1.00 and 1.30 in the long term.
(RL)
 
 


Calls for  SEPT Week 4/ OCT Week 1
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
GENTING (3182)
26/9/2013
RM10.42
SELL into Strength
RM9.70
RM10.42
0.0%
TSH (9059)
26/9/2013
RM2.40
BUY on Weakness
RM2.98
RM2.40
0.0%
YINSON (7293)
27/9/2013
RM4.86
BUY
RM5.80
RM4.80
-1.3%
NCB (5509)
27/9/2013
RM3.98
Trading BUY
RM4.40
RM3.95
-0.8%
COASTAL (5071)
30/9/2013
RM2.91
BUY
RM3.43
RM2.93
+0.6%
ALAM (5115)
30/9/2013
RM1.45
BUY
RM1.80
RM1.46
-0.6%
BAT (4162)
1/10/2013
RM64.20
Take Profit
RM59.70
RM62.50
-2.7%
DIALOG (7277)
1/10/2013
RM2.54
ACCUMULATE
RM2.90
RM2.63
+3.5%
LBS (5789)
2/10/2013
RM1.77
BUY on weakness
RM2.20
RM1.82
+2.8%
PERISAI (0047)
2/10/2013
RM1.30
ACCUMULATE
RM1.66
RM1.30
0.0%

 

HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY