Friday, July 11, 2014

Morning Call | 11 July 2014



FLOWS
Friday, 11 July, 2014
BUY
WCT, SKPETRO, MAYBANK
SELL
DIGI, TM, RHBCAP
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
IHH (5225)
11/7/2014
RM4.70
TRIM
RM3.80
The share price has done very well, adding c20% over the past 2 months. Optimism on the stock followed it’s Q1 results which were in line. YOY, 1Q revenue & EBITDA improved  8% & 11% respectively, underpinned by organic growth of existing hospitals as well as the opening of Acibadem Atakent Hospital in Jan 2014. Overall, IHH managed to maintain its 1Q14 EBITDA margin of 25%. Group’s cash balance remained stable at RM2.3b. However, the price ascend has brought IHH’s valuation to rather demanding level, ie a lofty 49x FY14, ahead of its regional peer’s of 38x. We reckon the positives are already well reflected in the price & would suggest selling into strength; TRIM  ( Target buyback at RM3.80, based on PER 40x FY14, slight premium to peers given it’s huge market capitalization & strong growth prospects).
(AK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SUPERMX (7106)
11/7/2014
RM2.15
ACCUMULATE
RM2.60
The share price has retraced c30% over the past 5 months, largely attributable to sector concerns of overly aggressive capacity expansion by glove makers. We see this pullback as an opportunity to buy as it remains a proxy to rising global healthcare spending. Demand for glove will remain inelastic & recent reports expect overall demand for gloves to remain strong & robust ( annual growth of 8-10% pa) over the next few years. It can also be argued that oversupply concerns have been exaggerated, as some industry analysis conducted suggest that new incoming supply would be easily absorbed by the growing global demand. This is in tandem with the rise in hygiene standards, improved healthcare awareness, growing population & affluence in its target market. Despite posting weak Q1 result ( partly due to a fire mishap in its Alor Gajah plant & lower ASP), we believe this is just a temporary blip with slack to be made up in 2H14. Management has guided that lines affected by the fire have been re-commissioned in 2Q14. EPF remains a substantial shareholder with an 8% stake. Trading at just 9x for FY15 (c25% discount to sector PER), we reckon most foreseeable risks have been priced in or overdone, and that any positive news-flow could significantly re-rate the stock; Accumulate (TP RM2.60 based on 11x FY15 EPS).
(AK)
 
 
Calls for  JULY WEEK 2 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
GOB (1147)
4/7/2014
RM1.03
Trading BUY
RM1.40
RM1.03
0.0%
WPRTS (5246)
4/7/2014
RM2.72
ACCUMULATE
RM3.12
RM2.75
+1.1%
KPJ (5878)
7/7/2014
RM3.63
SELL into strength
-
RM3.51
-3.4%
TURBO (5167)
7/7/2014
RM1.35
ACCUMULATE
RM1.60
RM1.33
-1.5%
ECONBHD (5253)
8/7/2014
RM0.765
BUY
RM1.00
RM0.735
-4.0%
GUH (3247)
8/7/2014
RM1.39
BUY
RM1.55
RM1.39
0.0%
UCHITEC(7100)
9/7/2014
RM1.42
ACCUMULATE
RM1.78
RM1.46
+2.8%
MEDIA (4502)
9/7/2014
RM2.44
ACCUMULATE
RM2.90
RM2.40
-1.7%
BARAKAH (7251)
10/7/2014
RM1.58
ACCUMULATE
RM1.80
RM1.58
0.0%
GENTING (3182)
10/7/2014
RM9.80
ACCUMULATE
RM11.00
RM9.79
-0.2%


 


 


Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral