Tuesday, July 8, 2014

Morning Call | 8 July 2014

FLOWS
Tuesday, 8 July, 2014
BUY
WCT, SKPETRO, TENAGA
SELL
MAXIS, GAMUDA, AXIATA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
ECONBHD (5253)
8/7/2014
RM0.765
BUY
RM1.00
Stock has total outstanding shares of 535m and 90m shares (16.8%) were offered to investors via public issue of 30.5m shares & private placement to identified investors of 59.5m shares at an IPO price of RM0.54. It was recently listed on 30/6/14 and in total 433.9m shares have been traded since then. Econpile shares saw very strong demand during the private placement exercise and the public issue was oversubscribed by 35.4x. Given the volume traded since its listing, it is very likely that all the stags have been fully absorbed and the shares are now in strong hands. With a small free float, we expect Econpile to outperform on any positive news. Econpile is one of the pioneers & leaders in the local piling industry (market share of 13%), hence is expected to garner its fair share of the piling contracts in the current construction boom. Piling & foundation works, on an average is 10% of the project cost. Independent research estimated that the piling & foundation works will grow at a CAGR of 9% between 2013 & 2018. Econpile has an order book of RM498m (1.3x FY6/13 revenue) and is tendering for RM2.0b worth of contracts. It is one of the few construction companies that has a dividend policy of minimum20% payout of net profit. Valuation is attractive at prospective FY6/15 PER of 11.8x. Buy
(LJN/PT)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GUH (3247)
8/7/2014
RM1.39
BUY
RM1.55
One of the principal activities of GUH is the manufacturing of double-sided & multi-layered printed circuit boards (PCB) which operates from Penang & Suzhou in China. Its PCB division saw a PBT growth of 43.4% in 1Q14 despite a seasonally slowest quarter in the global technology sector. This is not unlike the other listed tech stocks profit performance. Yet GUH remains unnoticed and a laggard compared to its peers in terms of price performance, hence an opportunity to buy the stock. GUH’s relative new water & waste water division which gained traction in FY13, also offers promising prospects. In FY13, the division secured 3 projects with total contract value of RM39.1m in Malaysia. As at end 1Q14, it has unbilled sales of RM40m and is currently tendering for RM170m worth of projects. GUH also has a strong balance sheet with net cash of RM195.2m at 1Q14 which translates into RM0.74/share. GUH is currently trading at PER ex-cash of 7.1x for FY15, and is trading at 24% discount to its NTA of RM1.83/share. Buy
(LJN/PT)
 
Calls for  JUNE WEEK 3/ WEEK 4 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
TDM (2054)
1/7/2014
RM1.04
ACCUMULATE
RM1.20
RM1.05
+0.9%
MHB (5186)
1/7/2014
RM3.72
BUY
RM4.10
RM3.81
+2.4%
MUDAJYA (5085)
2/7/2014
RM2.51
BUY
RM2.85
RM2.62
+4.3%
TAS (5149)
2/7/2014
RM1.50
ACCUMULATE
RM1.70
RM1.54
+2.6%
SONA (5241)
3/7/2014
RM0.485
Trading BUY
RM0.60
RM0.485
0.0%
CYPARK (5184)
3/7/2014
RM2.81
ACCUMULATE
RM3.20
RM2.86
+1.7%
GOB (1147)
4/7/2014
RM1.03
Trading BUY
RM1.40
RM1.02
-1.0%
WPRTS (5246)
4/7/2014
RM2.72
ACCUMULATE
RM3.12
RM2.70
-0.8%
KPJ (5878)
7/7/2014
RM3.63
SELL into strength
-
RM3.61
-0.6%
TURBO (5167)
7/7/2014
RM1.35
ACCUMULATE
RM1.60
RM1.35
0.0%
 
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral