Thursday, August 28, 2014

Morning Call | 27 August 2014


FLOWS
Wednesday, 27 August, 2014
BUY
SKPETRO, TM, CIMB
SELL
GENTING, UEMS, MAYBANK
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
CBIP (7076)
27/8/2014
RM4.68
BUY
RM5.49
CBIP (RM4.68) - CBIP is a proxy to the plantation sector that is able to withstand the CPO price volatilities as plantation companies will still continue with capex on new mills even in times of low CPO prices. CBIP’s 1H results came in within consensus and is expected to accelerate in 2H as it usually recognizes the bulk of its billings in the latter half. Currently group’s manufacturing division stood at RM488mil asa of end of March 2014 which would drive earnings for more than a year. While current orderbook stood at approx 160mil, we’re expecting to clinch another 200-300mil worth this year(where half of the orders were for its retro-fitting division); paired with an improving margin from its patented technology and a net cash of 132mil warchest gives it plenty of options for capex in the future. Upcoming catalyst includes, more contracts coming from Africa, Central/South America and Papua New Guinea, Indonesia which has a mature areas of oil palm which resulted in higher demand for palm mills. Similiarly, CBIP has announced a 1-for-1 bonus issue (data TBA) which could should also limit the downside to the stock. Currently trading at a only 12.7x PE for FY14 and 12x for FY15 which is relatively lower sector average of 15x. BUY with a TP of RM5.49 based on 14x PE for FY15 as we expect to see more contract flows in 2H.
(RL)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UOADEV (5200)  
27/8/2014
RM2.10
BUY on weakness
RM2.40
UOADEV (RM2.10) – While the group’s set of results missed street estimates due to weaker than expected billings and higher dev cost due to new project start ups, the group has launched Southbank Residences and Sentul Village 2Q14 which will see a conversion into unbilled sales by 3Q. Looking ahead, new launches in the pipline includes Desa Business Suites, Kepong V (Phase1) and Jalan Ipoh Land (Phase1) of combined GDV of RM900m. Also, while not confirmed, news flows regarding the reintroduction of the DIBS scheme might act as a rerating factor for the group as they were one of the few names that were significantly affected by the abolishing of the scheme. UOA has low borrowings and has a net cash position of RM373mil; in which the group is expected to maintain its div pay out of 7.1% for FY15. Trading at 7.6x PE and 44% discount to RNAV. We advocate a BOW amidst short term pressure from its weaker quarterly results. 
(RL)
 
 
Calls for AUGUST WEEK 3/ WEEK 4 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
SILKHLD (5078)
20/8/2014
RM1.11
BUY
RM1.25
RM1.04
-6.4%
PANTECH (5125)  
20/8/2014
RM1.06
ACCUMULATE
RM1.25
RM1.04
-1.9%
TM(4863)
21/8/2014
RM6.24
ACCUMULATE
RM6.80
RM6.25
+0.1%
MISC (3816)  
21/8/2014
RM6.91
TRIM
-
RM6.94
+0.4%
SURIA (6521)
22/8/2014
RM2.61
ACCUMULATE
RM3.25
RM2.62
+0.3%
FABER (1368)  
22/8/2014
RM3.30
ACCUMULATE
RM3.92
RM3.52
+6.6%
ALAM (5115)
25/8/2014
RM1.45
ACCUMULATE
RM1.65
RM1.41
+2.8%
AIRPORT (5014)  
25/8/2014
RM7.91
TRIM
BB- RM7.50
RM7.65
-3.3%
UZMA (7250)
26/8/2014
RM3.43
Trading BUY
RM4.00
RM3.40
-0.9%
SCIENTX(4731)  
26/8/2014
RM6.30
TRIM
BB- RM6.00
RM6.26
-0.7%
 
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral