Wednesday, December 5, 2012

Morning Call | 5 Dec 2012


FLOWS
Wednesday, 5 December, 2012
BUY
DIALOG, MAYBANK,GAMUDA
SELL
TENAGA, UEMLAND, MAHSING
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
CALRSBERG (2836)
5/12/2012
RM12.74
BUY
RM13.60
Carlsberg (RM12.74): Carlsberg 9months earnings outperformed the consensus at 82% and we believe upcoming quarters to remain strong, supported by Christmas and CNY. Given the uncertain economic condition and upcoming election, Carlsberg offers an above average yield at 5.17% for FY13 compared to Guiness (4.4%), BAT (4.8%), Nestle (3.9%), JTI (4.18%). Earnings will continued to be supported by improvement in margins as management focus more on premium beer segment Kirin and in-house brewing of Kronenbourg which is 10-15% more expensive.  TP: 13.60
(TYK)
 
SIME (4197)
5/12/2012
RM8.97
Trading BUY
RM9.50
SIME (RM8.97): share price appears oversold after retracing 6.5% from RM9.60 levels. RSI has fallen to oversold levels of 15 while MACD has begun to turn.  Recent weakness in CPO prices could be the reason for the fall but as we enter a seasonally lower production period CPO price is expected to remain resilient. Improving economic outlook in China could also see uptick in demand from China. SIME remains the cheapest big planter trading at 13.4x PE with a gross yield of 3.9%. SIME being a key component of the KLCI could also see support for year-end closing. Trading Buy TP: 9.50
(TYK)
 
Calls for Week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
SUNREIT (5176)
28/11/2012
RM1.46
Accumulate
RM1.60
RM1.46
0.0%
PADINI (7052)
28/11/2012
RM1.85
SELL
RM1.60
RM1.85
0.00%
SPSETIA (8664)
29/11/2012
RM3.05
Accumulate
RM3.40
RM3.09
+1.5%
KULIM (2003)
29/11/2012
RM4.28
BUY
RM4.70
RM4.48
+4.46%
KPJ (5878)
30/11/2012
RM5.80
BUY on weakness
RM6.20
RM5.90
+1.7%
LIONIND (4235)
30/11/2012
RM0.91
BUY
RM1.15
RM0.915
0.5%
MISC (3186)
03/12/2012
RM4.02
Mid Term BUY
RM4.48
RM3.94
-2.0%
OSK (5053)
03/12/2012
RM1.39
Accumulate
RM1.71
RM1.43
+2.8%
GADANG (9261)
04/12/2012
RM0.60
Trading BUY
RM0.70
RM0.615
+2.5%
PCHEM (5183)
04/12/2012
RM5.66
BUY
RM6.20
RM5.73
+1.2%