Monday, December 10, 2012

Morning Call | 7 Dec 2012


FLOWS
Friday, 7 December, 2012
BUY
DIALOG, AFFIN, JCY
SELL
AMBANK, YTL, TENAGA
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
YTLPOWR (6742)
7/12/2012
RM1.51
BUY
RM2.00
the stock has plummeted to a 7-year low recently. We think the share price slump provides a good opportunity to buy. Earnings have been resilient despite losses at YES. The recent Q1 earnings has demonstrated improving performances from Power Seraya, Wessex Water and YES Broadband (although dividend declared was disappointing, suggesting net yield of only c 2.5%). Despite YTLP’s recent unsuccessful bid to extend its 1st generation PPA, we note that this poses limited threat to group earnings (to be covered by improvement in other assets). The strong q-o-q growth in the WIMAX business suggests further sizeable improvements in income from the 1Bestariang project. Besides the improving fundamentals, it’s also likely that some M&A activity could be in the offing (likely privatization by its holding Co YTLCorp or sale of its Malaysian assets) which could benefit shareholders. Trading at cheap PERs of 10X for FY06/13 & P/Bk of 1.3x ( vs historical mean of 2.0x) – BUY. (AK)
 
IJMLAND (5215)
7/12/2012
RM2.08
BUY
RM2.60
The share price has retreated some 25% from its recent high of RM2.73 in July 2012 & has consolidated at current level for the past 2 months. Its strong property sales momentum remain intact, and Co is comfortably on track to meet or potentially surpass the RM1.5b sales target for FY03/13 (sale as at Oct already at RM1.1b). 1HY FY13 total sales stands at RM900m, and based on construction progress & unbilled sales of RM1.6b, 2HY and FY14 sales/earnings are likely to come in stronger. EBIT margin was still stable at c23% during Q2. Key share price drivers in 2013 – visible new launches (Bandar Rimbayu, Sebana Cove & commercial segments of the Light project), strong sales momentum, land banking prospects ( incl the prime Sungai Buloh government tender). Election risk we believe is largely priced in. Trading at PE of 14x FY13, RNAV discount of 40% (sector mean of 25%) & P/Bk of 1.1x – Accumulate. (AK)
Calls for Week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
KPJ (5878)
30/11/2012
RM5.80
BUY on weakness
RM6.20
RM5.90
+1.7%
LIONIND (4235)
30/11/2012
RM0.91
BUY
RM1.15
RM0.92
+1.1%
MISC (3186)
03/12/2012
RM4.02
Mid Term BUY
RM4.48
RM3.95
-1.7%
OSK (5053)
03/12/2012
RM1.39
Accumulate
RM1.71
RM1.43
+2.87%
GADANG (9261)
04/12/2012
RM0.60
Trading BUY
RM0.70
RM0.60
0.00%
PCHEM (5183)
04/12/2012
RM5.66
BUY
RM6.20
RM5.71
+0.88%
CARLSBERG (2836)
06/12/2012
RM12.74
Trading BUY
RM13.60
RM12.84
+0.78%
SIME (4197)
06/12/2012
RM8.97
BUY
RM9.50
RM8.98
+0.11%
PARKSON (5657)
6/12/2012
RM4.60
BUY
RM4.97
RM4.60
+0.00%
ARMADA (5210)
6/12/2012
RM3.77
BUY
RM4.08
RM3.78
+0.26%