Thursday, March 21, 2013

Morning Call | 21 March 2013


FLOWS
Thursday, 21 March, 2013
BUY
IOIC, GENTING, UEMLAND
SELL
KNM, MAYBANK, WCT
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
PENERGY(5133)
21/3/2013
RM1.26
BUY
RM1.47
Penergy(1.26) – buy call for a major laggard in the oil & gas sector, trading at the bottom quartile of its last 10 years range. Stock found critical support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.26 after it rallied from 0.85 in Sept’11 to 1.94 in Aug’12. There had been earlier signs of stock having bottomed before selling pressure  emerged for the past week due to the arbitrage opportunity from its rights (1:2 @ 1.15), which was trading at a discount to the mother share. We expect Penergy to play catch up to the other o&g stocks with its expertise in topside maintenance & HUCC jobs as they will be one of the beneficiaries for the Pan-Malaysian Rm8-10bn umbrella topside maintenance/HUCC jobs, expected to finalized by May’13. In addition, its marginal field project may have positive newsflows with the projected first oil by Aug’13. Penergy is also bidding for EOR jobs with partner, Baker Hughes. Stock is currently trading at an attractive valuation of PER 9.7x for FY13. Buy
(PT)
 
MULPHA(3905)
21/3/2013
RM0.405
Trading BUY
RM0.50
Mulpha(0.405) – stock broke out from the downtrend sloping line on huge volume yesterday. It took out the 0.40 resistance with a potential upside of the 1st target of 0.45. The weekly macd also has a positive crossover after being in the doldrums for the last 6 months. Mulpha will benefit from Iskandar play as it still has a remaining land bank of 600 acres of freehold land in Leisure Farm which is the one of the more established property projects in Iskandar, having won FIABCI, CNBC, PAM & other property awards since 2003 to2012. It currently has an NTA of 1.13, hence trading at a very low valuation of 0.36x px/NTA. Trading buy
(PT)
 
Calls for MARCH Week 2/Week 3
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
TOPGLOV (7113)
14/3/2013
RM5.50
Trading BUY
RM5.80
RM5.51
+0.1%
CIMB (1023)
14/3/2013
RM7.11
SELL
RM6.50
RM7.17
+0.9%
MUHIBAH(5703)
15/3/2013
RM0.875
BUY
RM1.10
RM1.01
+13.4%
RHBCAP (1066)
15/3/2013
RM8.30
SELL
RM7.80
RM8.57
+3.2%
SIME(4197)
18/3/2013
RM9.00
Trading BUY
RM9.50
RM9.19
+2.1%
MAXIS(6012)
18/3/2013
RM6.50
TRIM
RM6.21
RM6.51
+0.1%
ARMADA(5210)
19/3/2013
RM3.72
ACCUMULATE
RM4.00
RM3.76
+1.0%
SUNWAY(5211)
19/3/2013
RM2.73
Take Profit
Buyback RM2.50
RM2.83
+3.6%
PAVREIT(5212)
20/3/2013
RM1.58
SELL
RM1.45
RM1.61
+1.9%
CARLSBG(2836)
20/3/2013
RM14.06
SELL
RM12.50-13.00
RM13.86
-1.4%