Thursday, March 28, 2013

Morning Call | 28 March 2013


FLOWS
Thursday, 28 March, 2013
BUY
AIRASIA, MAYBANK, AXIATA
SELL
CIMB, GENM, IJM
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
MMCCORP(2194)
28/3/2013
RM2.55
BUY
RM2.75
The stock bottomed at 2.26 in Feb’13 and rebounded strongly to 2.50  levels before consolidating for the next 3 weeks in a 2.49 to 2.55 band. MMC is poised for a break-out from this flag pattern with attractive upside of 2.70/80. Technically, it has an attractive set up for both short term and longer term indicators as both the daily and weekly macd showed a recent positive crossover. MMC is also a laggard compared to other Iskandar-related stocks. It has  more than 2/3 of its asset value in Iskandar, Johor.  Recently MMC has started to unlock value with the sale of 400 acres of land in Senai. After this sale, it still has a remaining 4,300 acres of land in the Iskandar region. Other catalysts are the listing of Malakoff which is earnings accretive from the interest savings and the potential positive newsflows from its JV with Gamuda for the bidding of the other 2 MRT lines. Buy
(PT)
 
MUDAJYA(5085)
28/3/2013
RM2.38
ACCUMULATE
RM2.70
Stock has underperformed the other construction stocks recently from a weaker Q4’12 results due to logistic issue on the transport of power plant equipment to India. However, management has guided recently that the assembly of the power plant equipment modules have begun and the overall progress of the plant is at 70%;  with the 1st phase targeted to be test-fired by end of CY13 and the balance by 1HCY14. Hence, Q1’13 results will show a significant jump in QoQ performance. The main catalyst for Mudajaya is the expected signing of the fuel supply agreement by 1HCY13, hence it is appropriate to start step-buying of the stock as we are already into the end of Q1. There are also signs of accumulation with volume increasing recently and the price charts depicting higher lows. It  has also been seeing consistent share buy-backs at current levels and it trades at an attractive PER of  5.0x for FY13 and 4.7x for FY114.  Accumulate
(PT)
 
Calls for MARCH Week 3/Week 4
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
PENERGY(5133)
21/3/2013
RM1.26
BUY
RM1.47
RM1.33
+5.5%
MULPHA(3905)
21/3/2013
RM0.405
Trading BUY
RM0.50
RM0.400
0.0%
KOSSAN(7153)
22/3/2013
RM3.47
BUY
RM3.94
RM3.48
-0.3%
UMW(4588)
22/3/2013
RM13.22
Trading SELL
RM12.20
RM13.42
+1.5%
DIGI (6947)
25/3/2013
RM4.42
ACCUMULATE
RM4.80
RM4.61
+4.2%
FAVCO(7229)
25/3/2013
RM1.75
Trading SELL
RM1.56-1.60
RM1.79
+2.2%
TM(4863)
26/3/2013
RM5.30
ACCUMULATE
RM5.80
RM5.40
+1.8%
AFG(2488)
26/3/2012
RM4.33
Trading BUY
RM5.20
RM4.40
+1.6%
MHB(5186)
27/3/2013
RM3.82
ACCUMULATE
RM4.40
RM3.79
-0.7%
BENALEC(5190)
27/3/2013
RM1.17
BUY
RM1.50
RM1.18
+0.9%