Monday, September 22, 2014

Morning Call | 19 September 2014

FLOWS
Friday, 19 September, 2014
BUY
SKPETRO, GENM, IOICORP
SELL
MAYBANK, DIGI, CIMB
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
POS ( 4634)
19/9/2014
RM4.70
ACCUMULATE
RM5.30
The share price has retraced c10% following the release of its Q1 06/14 results which was considered lower, making up only 16% of consensus. The lower earning registered was partly due to higher operating, finance costs & tax rate. We believe the negatives have been reflected in the price. On closer scrutiny, it’s worthy to note that Pos’s key focus remain intact in the Q1 results – the courier arm continued to grow with revenue & operating profit improving 21% and 23% yoy respectively, and the retail business (led by Ar Rahnu ) posting revenue growth of 10%. Pos is looking to grow its profitable courier and logistics segment by leveraging on its wide Pos Laju network as well as synergies with KL Airport services. Group is also strengthening its retail segment with the growth of its Islamic pawn broking business. It appears to be staying on course to implementing & delivering it’s 5-year Strategic Plan initiated in 2012. Besides these, it’s potential land-bank development could be a major re-rating catalyst. Valuation undemanding at 15.2x FY06/15 – Accumulate ( TP RM 5.30 based on 17x FY15).
 (AK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
TITIJYA (5239)  
19/9/2014
RM2.44
ACCUMULATE
RM2.90
In tandem with the weaker market, the share price has drifted c15% lower over the past 2 months and is now sitting close to its 3-month support level. This was despite group posting FY06/14 results which were within estimates. We consider this a good opportunity to accumulate. We remain bullish on its prospect moving into 2015 where we expect new sales to rise further to c RM550-600m. Conversions of booking received for the first 2 blocks of H2O will be captured in the period. This is further backed by a strong pipeline of launches that will likely include new launches/phases for Embun Kemensah, H2O as well as Trio Service Apartments in Shah Alam. It’s recent JV to co-develop a mixed development project in Jalan Eaton, KLCC (GDV RM2.5b) represents the group’s first foray into the high end KLCC residential market. We are also positive on it’s increasingly robust land banking momentum, which has thus far helped to contribute to it’s higher than average gross margins of c35% ( vs industry average 20-30%). Trading at a steep 45% discount to RNAV, we consider this unjustifiable given it’s good track record, strong pre-sales pipeline, healthy Balance Sheet, prolific land banking & robust EPS growth of more than 20% for FY15-17; Accumulate. ( TP RM2.90, based on 35% disc to RNAV) 
 (AK)
 
Calls for SEPT WEEK 2/ WEEK 3 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
PERDANA (7108)
11/9/2014
RM1.74
ACCUMULATE
RM1.95
RM1.78
+2.2%
THHEAVY (7206) 
11/9/2014
RM0.83
ACCUMULATE
RM0.94
RM0.810
-2.5%
ECONBHD (5253)
12/9/2014
RM0.965
Trading BUY
RM1.20
RM1.01
+4.6%
GAMUDA (5398) 
12/9/2014
RM4.83
BUY
RM5.50
RM4.80
-0.7%
BARAKAH (7251)
15/9/2014
RM1.40
ACCUMULATE
RM1.60
RM1.36
-2.9%
BAT (4162) 
15/9/2014
RM73.36
Trading SELL
RM66.00
RM70.30
-4.2%
MYEG (0138)
17/9/2014
RM3.28
SELL
BB – RM2.80
RM3.20
-2.5%
BSTEAD (2771) 
17/9/2014
RM4.98
SELL
RM4.50
RM4.94
-0.9%
SOP (5126)
18/9/2014
RM5.85
ACCUMULATE
RM6.60
RM6.00
+2.5%
PRTASCO (5070) 
18/9/2014
RM1.71
ACCUMULATE
RM2.40
RM1.70
-0.6%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Given that our call initiated on the 5/9 to buy BJAUTO (5248) has achieved our target of RM3.20,
we advocate a take profit on the stock.
 
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral