Monday, October 20, 2014

Morning Call | 20 October 2014

FLOWS
Monday, 20 October, 2014
BUY
YTL, MAYBANK, CIMB
SELL
IOICORP, DIGI, UEMS
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
ASTRO (6399)
20/10/2014
RM3.22
TRIM
-
Astro recent higher ARPU rate has artificially been buoyed by the force migration to theirs HD decoders. However net adds remain soft and trail significantly behind this year target of 150k new subs. This could be partly due to the fact that many are taking advantage of the promotion of the additional 2nd decoder or the same household at only RM50/mth. Despite the current policy of 85% payout ratio, dividend yield remains unattractive at 3%. Furthermore recent experience in more developed markets has seen the migration of cable TV users to on line content providers such as NetFlix.  We feel that the weakness in the cable TV business model and not compelling valuations of 30x PE 2015, warrants a reduce exposure to this counter.
(DN)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
BJFOOD (5196)  
20/10/2014
RM2.75
ACCUMULATE
RM3.45
Price has retraced to attractive accumulation levels after touching a high of RM3.22. Its premium valuation 17.5x forward earnings is validated by its superior earnings growth from Starbucks (100% from Sept 2014 and projected SSG continuing its double digit growth), Kenny Rogers recovery and regional growth. Further catalyst could come from potential injection of other franchise brands from its parent company. We rate this a good accumulation level with an eventual target of RM3.45 or 22x.
(DN)
 
 
Calls for SEPT OCT WEEK 2 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
OLDTOWN(5201)
13/10/2014
RM1.76
SELL Into Strength
BB - RM1.32
RM1.66
-5.7%
CBIP (7076) 
13/10/2014
RM4.60
SELL into Strength
BB - RM3.73
RM4.45
-3.3%
MSM (5202)
14/10/2014
RM4.92
TAKE PROFIT
-
RM4.91
-0.3%
UMWOG(5243) 
14/10/2014
RM3.10
ACCUMULATE
RM3.60
RM3.38
+9.0%
UOADEV(5200)
15/10/2014
RM2.10
TRIM
-
RM2.13
+1.5%
PMETAL (8869) 
15/10/2014
RM5.05
ACCUMULATE
RM5.90
RM5.25
+3.9%
PERDANA (7108)
16/10/2014
RM1.66
ACCUMULATE
RM2.40
RM1.52
-8.5%
BURSA (1818) 
16/10/2014
RM7.95
TRIM
-
RM7.85
-1.3%
 
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral