Thursday, February 26, 2015

Market Roundup | 25 February 2015


FBMKLCI   1815.86    -2.82pts (-0.16%)      Volume 1.697b   Value 1.905b

 

1) The KLCI closed in the red today despite the stronger US market overnight following the Fed's dovish stance to remain patient on interest rate hikes. In the regional scene, bourses were mixed weighed by SHCOMP -0.56% that fell even after HSBC flash PMI beat consensus, NIKKEI -0.10% remained flat, HSI +0.10% and ASX +0.30%. In the local scene, INDUSTRIAL  +1.13% index outperformed boosted by PETGAS +3.13%, MISC +2.23%, SIME +0.21% while the PLANTATIONS index-0.89% lost the most ground today dragged by heavyweights FGV -12.92%, GENP -1.16%, IOICORP-1.16%. Market breadth was negative today with losers beating gainers by 427 : 379. Futures closed at 1810.5 (5pts discount).

 

 

2) Heavyweights : FGV-12.92% -RM2.56, CIMB RM5.90 -1.99% , SKPETRO -4.42% RM2.81, YTL -4.00% RM1.68, GENTING -1.77% RM8.87, PETGAS +3.13% RM23.72, TENAGA +0.84% RM14.38, MISC +2.23% RM8.23.

 

 

3) DBT: EAH 20mil @ RM0.125 (2.35% PUC), INARI 3mil @ RM2.92, SIGN 2mil @ RM1.97, PENERGY 1mil @ RM1.37.

 

 

4) Situational:-

 

MPAY +9.30% RM0.235 - Managepay Systems Bhd (Mpay) has received approval from Bank Negara Malaysia to issue electronic money (e-money) via the proposed online wallet (Mpay Balance) and prepaid card (Mpay MasterCard). In a filing with the stock exchange, Mpay said Mpay Balance and Mpay MasterCard comes with a respective wallet limit of RM10,000 per account holder

 

 

PESTECH+2.1% RM4.85 - Pestech International's (Pestech), wholly owned  subsidiary,  Pestech  SB, has  secured  a  MYR28.8m  job  from N.U.R.  Distribution  SB  (NUR)  for  the  engineering,  procurement  and construction,  commissioning  and  testing  work  package  of  the  West  132kV  substation  project  in  Kulim,  Kedah.  The  project,  which commenced  on  23  Feb  2015,  is  expected  by  management  to  be completed within 15 months.

 

 

5) AXIATA : FY12/14 Rev +2% RM18.7b Net-8% RM2.35b EPS 27.4s Div 22s

 

           Core earnings trails cons RM2.45b by 9%, Dividend in line.

 

For 12 months yoy, higher revenue was driven by Indonesia, Bangladesh, Cambodia and Sri Lanka operations (+4.4% at constant currency). Operating cost for the group +5.5% mainly due to Axis integration in Indonesia. As a result, EBITDA -3.7% and EBITDA margin -2.2% to 37.4%. PAT -14.4% due to lower contribution from Malaysia & Indonesia. The group also registered a one-off gain of RM117m from disposal of a 24% stake in SAMART i-Mobile in Thailand in Q3. Qoq, revenue +3.4% due to increase in revenue of all key OpCos. Operating cost +3.2% mainly due to higher operating costs in Bangladesh . EBITDA +4% and margin registered marginal increase of 0.2% to 36.7%. Group's year end cash position stands at RM5.1b and declared dividend payout of 22s, a 84% payout. Ahead in 2015, Axiata will be looking to regain momentum at Celcom and XL ( XL is now able to aggressively compete after the completion of Axis integration whilst Celcom will be better placed , post IT transformation, to launch better products and better services. Group guiding 2015 Revenue +4% and EBITDA+4%, CAPEX RM4.8bn.

 

Investors are looking ahead to FY15 given the significant distortions in FY14 arising from the Axis acquisition. However, earnings are expected to be subdued in Malaysia whilst there is also a risk that XL's turnaround may take longer to materialize. Meanwhile, escalated capex spend in both markets, coupled with XL's stretched balance sheet will most likely limit the group's ability to enhance dividend payouts - Trim.

 

 

DAYANG : FY12/14 Rev+56% RM876.9m Net+20% RM178.6m EPS 21.3s  Div 7s

 

       Results 6% below cons RM191m, dividend behind cons 8.6s

 

For 12 months yoy, higher revenue was mainly due to higher revenue from the new hook up and commissioning contracts. PBT ( excluding reclassification of FV reserve) +53%, due to almost similar profit margin contribution from work orders performed as compared to last year. Associate Perdana Petroluem Bhd contributed about 10% to PBT. The reclassification of FV reserve of RM32.8m is occasioned by the remeasurement of the investment in Perdana from available for sale to an equity accounted associate. Qoq, revenue was +2% while PBT -47%. Lower PBT was in view of the fact that work orders in the current quarter have a lower profit margin due to inclement weather in the last 2 months of 2014. Ahead, group anticipates a challenging operating environment in 2015. Nevertheless, has call out contracts estimated at about RM4b to last until 2018 and an outstanding tender book of RM800m.- We continue to like Dayang as it is the premier local oil and gas services player and has an excellent track record, with strong Balance Sheet ( net gearing lower than 10%).It's major shareholders ( Naim Holdings) should sustain its position as a primary beneficiary for Petronas O&G contract flows in Sarawak- Accumulate

 

 

6) Market : With the overnight cheer from the US that the Fed would be patient in raising its interest rate, we reckon the market bias will remain positive although key indicators are entering into their respective overbought territories.Trading range expected to remain between 1780-1830 points.