Monday, October 26, 2015

Market Roundup | 23 October 2015


FBMKLCI   1710.93pts   +5.84pts (+0.34%)    Volume 2.419b   Value RM 2.005b

 

 

1) The KLCI traded in positive territory thruout the day to close 5pts higher as investors await the announcement of the Malaysian Budget 2016.  Region rebounded inline with the global market after EU president, Draghi, hints at more QE and better U.S earnings boosted sentiments, NIKKEI +2.11%, HSI +1.34%, SHCOMP +1.30%, HSCEI +1.34%, ASX +1.67%, STI +1.00%. PLANTATION +1.24% index gained the most grounds as worsening elnino effect drew attention to heavyweights, KLK +2.10%, GENP +3.07%, FGV +2.85%. Market breadth was positive with gainers beating losers by 525 : 318. Market futures closed at 1714 (3pts premium).

 

 

2) Heavyweights : TENAGA +0.62% RM12.80, KLK +2.10% RM23.32, PETGAS +1.11% RM23.60, GENM +1.38% RM4.40, YTL +1.98% RM1.54, PCHEM +0.87% RM6.46, SIME +0.46% RM8.59, BAT +1.385 RM62.98.

 

 

3) DBT : IDEAL 9mil @ RM0.40, BIOHLDG 8.83mil @ RM0.29, OLYMPIA 6.7mil @ RM0.10

 

 

4) Situational:-

TM -0.29% RM6.81 - Telekom Malaysia Bhd (TM) today signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Swiss Garden Resort Residences, Sungai Karang on the provision of high-speed broadband service. The Mou would enable the hotel to provide hospitality entertainment solutions, including HyppTV and support services.

 

 

5) BUDGET 2016 :  Following are some of the highlights of the 2015/2016, Economic Report issued by the Finance Ministry in conjunction with the tabling of the 2016 Budget by Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib :

 

    * GST to rake in RM39 billion in 2016 (3.1% of GDP) (2015: ests RM27 billion from April) , representing a *44% increament

 

    * Malaysia's GDP to remain on a steady growth in 2016, to expand between 4.0% to 5.0% (2015:4.5-5.5 pct)

 

    * Growth in Malaysian economy to be driven by domestic demand with private expenditure to remain the main anchor

 

    *  Malaysia's fiscal deficit is projected to decline to RM38.8 billion or 3.1% of GDP in 2016 (2015: 3.2%)

 

    *  Federal gov rev collection in 2016 to grow marginally by 1.4% to RM225.7bn - due to higher collection of tax revenue

 

    *  Oil-related revenue to drop 14.1% in 2016 due to lower global crude oil prices (2015: 19.7 pct)

 

    *  The Federal gov expenditure to increase 1.7% to RM265.2bn in 2016 (2015: RM260.7bn)

 

    *  Of the RM265.2bn Federal gov expenditure, 81.1% allocated for opex while 18.9% for development expenditure.

 

    *  Opex in 2016 to increase marginally by 0.9% following continuous efforts to rationalise and optimise government spending

 

    *  The dev exp is expected to +5.4% in 2016 which RM30.3bn would go to the economic sector

 

    *  The security sector would be provided RM5bn in 2016 to enhance the capability of the armed forces and police

 

 

    * Public investment to record a higher growth of 2.3% in 2016 from 1.6% in 2015 supported by new projects under the Economic

       Transformation Programme and 1MP and the ongoing projects under the 10MP

    *  Services sector is projected to grow 5.4% in 2016 and increase its share to 54% of GDP from 53.8% in 2015 with all sub-sectors continuing to expand

 

    *  Inflation to remain stable at 2-3% in 2016 (2015:2.0- 2.5%)

 

    *  Nominal GNI per capita to increase 5.6% to RM38,438 2016 from 4.2% anticipated growth to RM36,397 in 2015

 

    *  Malaysia's current account to post a surplus in the range of 0.5%  to 1.5% of GNI compared with a surplus of 1.5-2.5% expected in 2015

 

    *  Gross exports are expected to rebound 1.4% in 2016 from a -0.7 % in 2015 supported by higher public investment and capital spending in the manufacturing    and services sectors.

 

    *  The deficit in the services account next year is expected to improve to RM11.4bn from RM14.7bn in 2015

 

    *  The Federal Government debt remains within prudent limit, and is well capped at 55% to GDP, placing Malaysia among medium-indebted countries

 

    *  The East Coast Economic Region (ECER) has attracted RM78bn  in investments since its inception in 2007, accounting for 71% of the RM110bn  target by 2020.

 

 

   Other highlights include:

 

   * Special Reinvestment Allowance for manufacturing and agriculture sectors for selected existing companies

    * 20 per cent stamp duty exemption on Syariah-compliant loan instruments to finance the purchase of houses

    * Additional RM1 billion for Syariah-compliant SME Financing System until Dec 31 2017

    * RM107 million allocated to SME Blueprint

    * Establishing a RM200 million SME Technology Transformation Fund to provide soft loans at 4 per cent

 

    * Building and improving rail transport network and highways

    * RM900 million allocated to implement Jalan Tun Razak Traffic Dispersal Project

    * Feasibility study on constructing a Masjid Tanah-Klebang-Jambatan Syed Abdul Aziz coastal highway in Melaka

    * RM42 million allocation for the construction of Mukah Airport, Sarawak, and upgrading airports in Kuantan and Kota Bharu.

    * Feasibility study for the extension of the runway in Batu Berendam Airport, Melaka

 

    * Ampang LRT line exntension project ready for use in March 2016, Kelana Jaya-Putra Heights LRT extension line ready from middle of 2016

    * MRT Sungai Buloh-Semantan ready in December 2016, Semantan-Kajang to complete by mid 2017

    * MRT II Sungai Buloh-Serdang-Putrajaya will commence in second quarter of 2016, to complete by 2022

    * LRT3 Bandar Utama, Damansara-Johan Setia, Klang will commence in 2016 and expected to complete by 2020

    * The government continues negotiations on high-speed rail with Singapore

 

 

    * MCMC to provide RM1.2 billion for rural broadband projects, National Fibre Backbone Infrastructure, High-speed Broadband, undersea cable system

    * RM250 million to be channelled for national broadcasting digitalisation project to enhance audio visual quality and provide value-add to TV content

    * RM1.4 billion to build and upgrade 700km rural roads nationwide

    * RM878 million for Rural Electrification Project covering 10,000 houses

    * RM568 million for Rural Water Supply Project to benefit 3,000 houses

 

     *Initial investment forecast of RM5 billion in 2016 for Malaysian Vision Valley

 

    *Implementation of Cyber City Centre in Cyberjaya with development cost of almost RM11 billion over a five-year period

 

    *Development of KLIA Aeropolis expected to attract investment of RM7 billion

 

    * The income tax rates for resident individuals whose chargeable income from RM600,001 to RM1 million are proposed to be increased by one per cent to 26 per cent  from 25 per cent now. For those with income exceeding RM1 million, the tax will be higher by three per cent at 28 per cent from 25 per cent, from year of assessment 2016.

 

 

6) Market : Flattish key momentum indicators suggest lack of buying momentum in the market. Trading range expected to remain 1680-1720 points.