Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Market Roundup | 20 Nov 2012

FBM 1624.20  +0.89pts (+0.05% )  Volume 1,022mil   Value RM1,690mil
 
1) KLCI gap up at opening reaching a high of 1628.3 (+4.99pts) following a positive DOW overnight. Index pared its gains inline with the regionals after China's October FDI fell 0.2%. Markups of BAT and GENTING near close ensured market snap its 4 days losing streak. Plantation-0.39% after Intertek showed exports fell 3.3% for first 20days compared to Oct. Market breadth stayed negative with decliners outpacing advancers 358:298. Future closed 1617 (7 pts discount).
 
2) Heavyweights: CIMB+0.52% RM7.67, GENM+1.48% RM3.43, GENTING+0.55% RM9.20, DIGI+0.42% RM4.81, BAT+1.04% RM58.54, PCHEM-0.79% RM6.31, TENAGA-0.43% RM6.92, IOICORP-0.41% RM4.91, 
 
3) DBT: ILB 2.5mil @ RM0.982 (2.7% discount), FAJAR 1mil @ RM0.68
 
4) Situational:
DIALOG+0.84% RM2.41: DIALOG announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, Dialog D & P Sdn Bhd has entered into a Subscription and Shareholders' Agreement ("SHA") with Asia Energy Services Sdn Bhd ("AES"), a wholly owned subsidiary of Halliburton International, Inc, to subscribe 50% equity interest into Halliburton Bayan Petroleum Sdn Bhd (HBP) to jointly manage an Oilfield Services Contract (OSC) to rejuvenate and re-develop the mature Bayan field located offshore Bintulu, Sarawak over 24 years. The estimated total project value is estimated at  US$1.2 billion
BGYEAR-56% RM0.175: BGYEAR has been classified as PN17 after it said the work-in-progress worth RM29.6 million is not billable and chargeable to its customers and the company will need to make provisions for this amount. the impact of this provisions will affect its shareholders' equity and trigger certain criterias under the Practice Note 17
5) CIMB
9mths Sep 2012  Tover +15.8% RM10.12bn   Net +12.9% RM3.3bn   EPS43.9sen
2.8% above   Cons(f) RM4.28bn
 
The higher turnover was largely due to the 25.8% expansion in non-interest income. Regional Consumer Bank PBT expanded by 13.5% Y-o-Y to RM1.672 billion. The star performer was once again Indonesia expanding by 55.3% Y-o-Y from a combination of better margins in 9M12 and growth in assets, partially offset by weaker currency translation.
 
Thai consumer operations however lost RM13 million due to higher provisions and the retrospective implementation of a new deposit insurance framework. The Group's regional Wholesale Banking PBT rose 24.5% Y-o-Y to RM2.240 billion principally driven by the uptick in the Treasury & Markets division PBT to RM1.116 billion from the strong flows in debt capital markets and foreign exchange. Total non-Malaysian PBT to the group increased to 43% in 9MFY12 from 38% in 9MFY11. 
 
The Group's total gross loans expanded 9.8% YOY. Corporate loans increased 10.7% while retail loans and commercial banking loans grew 8.9% and 11.0% respectively. Total Group deposits grew by 6.1% Y-o-Y Investment Banking PBT was lower by 27.0% Y-o-Y due to lower income and initial costs related to the acquisition of selected APAC IB businesses of The Royal Bank of Scotland.  
 
The Group's CASA ratio increased slightly to 34.6% from 33.0% last year while overall net interest margin was marginally lower at 3.08% from 3.12% last year. Total loan impairment of RM277 million in 9MFY12 was a 39.9% YOY. RWCR stood at 15.2% while its core capital ratio stood at 13.4% as at 30 September 2012.
 
The deal pipeline in the immediate future remains strong with the group now focusing on integrating RBS and Bank of Commerce (Phillip).  HOLD
 
6) Market - Maintain stance of a higher close to the market by year end hence advocate step buying for beaten down names including Armada, Genting M, HL Ind, TM