Thursday, November 22, 2012

Morning Call | 22 Nov 2012


FLOWS
Thursday, 22 November, 2012
BUY
CIMB, GAMUDA, IOIC
SELL
IJM,SPSETIA, TM
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
KNM (7164)
22/11/2012
RM0.50
Trading BUY
RM0.585
During the last 5 years since KNM fell from its high, each time the stock bounced substantially, it would have consolidated near the bottom for 15 to 29 weeks. Currently KNM has consolidated for 27 weeks near its recent bottom. Its weekly charts signaled multiple positive divergences between the prices and technical indicators – a good parameter of the negative news already being priced in and discounted. In addition, one can tell from the trading that there are strong hands accumulating as despite the huge amount of right shares listed and the huge trading volume, the stock did not collapse but was only down 1.5 sen for the day on 20/11/12 before rallying yesterday. It looks like KNM has been sold down ahead of the rights listing so that buyers are able to buy at lower prices on listing. The excess shares application success rate is also very low which would indicate that there are ready buyers for the undersubscribed rights. Fundamentally, KNM has reported 2 consecutive quarters of good results due to higher margin projects and the completion of legacy unprofitable projects. Potential near term newsflow is that management is confident of finalizing the Peterborough waste-to energy 80MW power plant project by, concluding the power purchase agreement with a  subsidiary of Marubeni as its offtaker by end-2012. Midterm positive would be the listing of Borsig in Singapore. KNM trades at a prospective PER of 8.8x. Trading Buy
(PT)
 
GENM (4715)
22/11/2012
RM3.45
Accumulate
RM3.68
Play on strong results as recently companies that reported good results have been rewarded richly. GENM will report its Q3 results on 26/11/2012.  Its Q2 results was nearly doubled its Q1 with the improvement accruing  substantially from its overseas operations, especially the UK, hence Q3 should continue this trend with record arrivals of tourists to the UK due to the London Olympics. GENM is also currently trading at the lower end of its trading band with an attractive forward PER of 11.5x, and would normally do well seasonally because of the holidays and the festive periods. Accumulate
(PT)
 
Calls for NOV Week 2 / Week 3
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
KLK (2445)
14/11/2012
RM20.72
BUY
RM23.00
RM20.56
-0.07%
TWSPLNT (6327)
14/11/2012
RM4.03
BUY
RM4.43
RM4.08
+1.2%
COASTAL (5071)
16/11/2012
RM2.01
BUY
RM2.40
RM2.01
0.00%
QL (7084)
16/11/2012
RM3.15
BUY
RM3.55
RM3.16
+0.1%
YTLP (6742)
19/11/2012
RM1.53
BUY
RM1.70
RM1.54
+0.7%
RHBCAP (1066)
19/11/2012
RM7.60
BUY
RM8.20
RM7.60
0.00%
MBMR (5983)
20/11/2012
RM3.42
BUY
RM3.72
RM3.41
-0.03%
KIMLUN (5171)
20/11/2012
RM1.33
Trading BUY
RM1.60
RM1.34
+0.7%
YINSON (7293)
21/11/2012
RM1.84
MT BUY
RM2.67
RM1.85
+0.5%
CYPARK (5148)
21/11/2012
RM1.56
Trading BUY
RM2.00
RM1.56
0.00%