Monday, April 14, 2014

Morning Call | 14 April 2014

FLOWS
Monday, 14 April, 2014
BUY
KNM, MISC, DIALOG
SELL
E&O, GASMSIA, IJM
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
SKPETRO (5218)
14/4/2014
RM4.35
BUY
RM4.80
 Share price fell 13% from a high of RM4.81 over the past 6 days before closing at the strong support of RM4.33 (61.8% retracement) at the bell on Friday. We believe that the stock is widely oversold and is poised for a technical bounce following the announcement of Seadrill’s placement of 230mil shares at RM4.30. Nevertheless, group’s fundamentals are still intact with a robust order book of 25bn pegged with a 3 year EPS CAGR of 35%. Moving forward the group is currently working on an RSC with Petronas’ Vestigo while actively searching for other opportunities to JV with other co.s in Africa, ME and Brazil as well as locally. Valuations stood at 16.6x for FY15 and 14.6x for FY16 which is relatively cheap than other big cap players in the region. Share price has limited downside and is currently trading at attractive valuation. BUY.
(RL)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ASTRO (6399)  
14/4/2014
RM3.35
Sell Into Strength
-
Share price has done well gaining 12% in the last 1 month and has consolidated around these levels; we believe it’s wise to start taking profit as the geographical overhang, looming implementation of GST next year as well as the lack in catalysts will continue to suppress the price. Moving forward, group’s margin will be lower as well due to the higher content cost (EPL, ESPN, HD Starsports, etc.) although the occurrence of the FIFA worldcup will help boost ADEX. Astro is currently trading at hefty valuations of 36x PE, offers single digit CAGR growth with a dividend payout of 2.1%. We suggest a sell into strength and a switching to MEDIAC (RM0.94) which offers a 6% dividend yield and trades at a single digit PE multiple; and or STAR (RM2.41)  which is the only Syariah compliant media stock in the market.
(RL)
 
 
Calls for  APRIL Week 1/ Week 2 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
AIRASIA (5099)
7/4/2014
RM2.39
BUY
RM2.77
RM2.31
-3.4%
TENAGA (5347)  
7/4/2014
RM11.34
ACCUMULATE
RM12.30
RM11.90
+4.9%
LBS (5789)
8/4/2014
RM1.81
BUY
RM2.20
RM1.80
-0.6%
TGUAN (7034)  
8/4/2014
RM2.13
BUY
RM2.70
RM2.10
-1.5%
TM (4863)
9/4/2014
RM5.86
TRADING BUY
RM6.20
RM5.91
+0.8%
DIALOG (7277)  
9/4/2014
RM3.68
ACCUMULATE
RM4.50
RM3.59
-2.5%
PMETAL (8869)
10/4/2014
RM2.50
BUY
RM3.10
RM2.90
+16.0%
WCT (9679)  
10/4/2014
RM2.25
TRADING BUY
RM2.50
RM2.25
0.0%
MUDAJYA (5085)
11/4/2014
RM2.83
BUY
RM3.56
RM2.80
-1.1%
HSL (6238)  
11/4/2014
RM1.80
ACCUMULATE
RM2.50
RM1.80
0.0%
 
 
HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY