Friday, April 4, 2014

Morning Call | 3 April 2014


FLOWS
Thursday, 3 April, 2014
BUY
SKPETRO, CMSB, TENAGA
SELL
E&O, MMC, DIGI
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
BARAKAH (7251)
3/4/2014
RM1.56
Trading BUY
RM2.20
The share price has consolidated about the RM1.50 level for the past month. Secured OB stands at RM2.2b which provides earnings visibility for the next 3 years while group has been actively involved in bidding for new projects with its current tender book of RM3b, comprising c70 O&G projects. The Commissioning segment is able to provide Co with recurring stable earnings. Work orders from its recent Pan-Malaysian T&I contract will begin from June onwards. The outcome of the Saudi Aramco’s US1b contract bid (comprising T&I, HUC and pipeline commissioning works) is expected to be known in early 2Q14. Barakah & its JV partners are competing with another 2 contenders and stands a fair chance to win, given its extensive experience in commissioning jobs. A victory in this bid could re-rate the stock significantly. Co is trading at an undemanding PE of 12.8x for FY12/15, with a significant catalyst in play ; Trading Buy.
(AK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TAANN(5012)  
3/4/2014
RM4.20
ACCUMULATE
RM4.80
Share price has pulled back c5% over the past 3 weeks and is now showing signs of turning around. We reckon this is a good re-entry point into Taann as we continue to be positive on the prospects of the timber sector due to an upcoming log export ban in Myanmar ( expect tropical log prices to start rising from 2H2014) and stable demand from India & Japan. The softening MYR/USD rate and rising CPO prices will also drive earnings of the group. The oil palm estate’s young age profile of 6.5 years driving robust output 3-year 2013-16 CAGR of 16% is appealing. We also like the group for its continuous efforts to reduce plywood losses from Tasmania and that Wilmar’s new CPO purchase policy would only have minimal impact on its medium term prospects as it plans to complete its peat soil planting in 2014. Trading at an undemanding 10.9x for FY12/15, with stronger earnings from Plantation, improving otlook for the timber industry & softening of the MYR/USD ; Accumulate ( TP RM4.80 based on 12.5x FY15).
(AK)
 
 
Calls for  MARCH Week 4 / APRIL Week 1 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
MHB (5186)
27/3/2014
RM3.72
ACCUMULATE
RM4.30
RM3.81
+2.4%
KKB (9466)  
27/3/2014
RM2.47
ACCUMULATE
RM2.75
RM2.46
-0.5%
MSC (5916)
28/3/2014
RM3.20
BUY
RM3.80
RM3.41
+6.5%
SBCCORP(5207)  
28/3/2014
RM1.82
BUY
RM2.30
RM1.88
+3.2%
PARAMON (1724)
31/3/2014
RM1.67
BUY
RM2.00
RM1.65
-1.2%
SCOMI (7158)  
31/3/2014
RM0.435
ACCUMULATE
RM0.645
RM0.445
+2.2%
DIGI (6947)
1/4/2014
RM5.39
Take profit
-
RM5.35
-0.8%
MMCCORP (2194)  
1/4/2014
RM2.82
ACCUMULATE
RM3.20
RM2.83
+0.3%
THHEAVY (7206)
2/4/2014
RM0.92
Trading BUY
RM1.05
RM0.91
-1.1%
GENM (4715)  
2/4/2014
RM4.16
ACCUMULATE
RM4.60
RM4.22
+1.4%
 
 
HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY