Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Morning Call | 29 April 2014


FLOWS
Tuesday, 29 April, 2014
BUY
BAT, SPSETIA, GENM
SELL
MAXIS, TENAGA, AMBANK
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
GAMUDA (5398)
29/4/2014
RM4.55
BUY
RM5.45
Share price has retraced from a high of RM 4.71 and consolidating at the RM 4.50 area for the past weeks. Despite the headwinds in the property sector, Gamuda still expects another record year in FY14, with RM 1.9bn in projected sales versus the RM 1.75bn it achieved in FY13. In 1HFY14, the group had already recorded property sales of RM 980m. Currently, the group is making good progress on Line 1 of the Klang Valley MRT project. As at end-2QFY14, financial completion of the elevated portion stood at 24% (vis-à-vis  17%  three  months  ago), with the tunneling portion 34% complete (vs 24% three months ago). Furthermore, Gamuda and project owner MRT Co are now working on the basis that the RM 25bn Line 2 of the Klang Valley MRT project has been approved by the Cabinet, and the 50:50 MMC-Gamuda JV has been appointed as the project delivery partner (PDP) for the elevated portion of Line 2. Gamuda expects the Government to soon formally announce its approval for Line 2 as well as the appointment of MMC-Gamuda JV as the PDP for the elevated portion. In a nutshell, the prospects for the construction sector remain strong as it is believed to be riding on an extended upcycle, propelled largely by the RM 73bn Klang Valley MRT project. With Line 1 worth RM 23bn currently under construction and Lines 2 & 3 worth RM 25bn each under planning, this mammoth mega project will keep players busy until 2021. Gamuda is consider the best proxy to public infrastructure spending in Malaysia given its dominant role in Line 1 of the Klang Valley MRT project, and most likely in Lines 2 & 3 as well. Share price currently trading at 13x FY15 as compared to its historical PE of 20.2x. Buy with a TP of RM 5.45.
(KL)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SUNWAY (5211)  
29/4/2014
RM3.15
BUY
RM3.50
Share price has been making a series higher highs and higher lows ever since coming into the year 2014. The performance of the stock is a remarkable feat considers the fact that most of property sectors did not perform well due to the new cooling measures introduced by the government to control the property market. The uptrend remain intact as the group recent earnings result beats market expectations with both property development and construction divisions recorded >20% growth in operating profit. Going forward, the group is targeting to launch RM 2.3bn (effective: RM 1.7bn) worth of properties in FY14, with a targeted sales of RM 1.8bn (effective: RM 1.3bn). Key launches include RM300mil worth of offices (167 units) and service apartments (328 units) in Medini, Sunway Iskandar, sometime in 2QFY14, including 51 retail units for its property investment division. As for its construction division, the group has set a target of securing RM2.5bil worth of jobs, including 70% of external projects. As at end-2013, construction order book replenishment totaled RM 2.16bn, including RM 1.5bn of external jobs, while outstanding order book stood at RM 3.92bn. Amid the challenging market environment, Sunway stands out given its diversified business model that has helped cushion the temporary weakness in the property market. In terms of valuation, Sunway is trading at a FY14 PE of 12x, which is lower than its comparable peers of 12x-17x P/E, indicating better risk-rewards ratio. Buy on Sunway with a TP of RM3.50.
(KL)
 
 
 
Calls for  APRIL Week 3/Week 4 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
UMWOG(5243)
22/4/2014
RM3.90
ACCUMULATE
RM4.40
RM4.05
+3.8%
YEELEE(5584)  
22/4/2014
RM1.90
SELL into Strength
-
RM1.79
-5.8%
AIRASIA (5099)
23/4/2014
RM2.30
BUY
RM3.10
RM2.25
-2.2%
GADANG (9261)  
23/4/2014
RM1.84
Take Profit
RM1.43 BB
RM1.82
+3.2%
KKB (9466)
24/4/2014
RM2.58
BUY
RM2.80
RM2.53
+2.0%
PERDANA (7108)  
24/4/2014
RM1.91
BUY
RM2.30
RM1.89
-1.1%
MAYBANK (1155)
25/4/2014
RM9.96
Switch > RHBCAP
-
RM9.95
-0.2%
PERISAI (0047)  
25/4/2014
RM1.63
BUY
RM1.88
RM1.59
-2.5%
IOIGP (5249)
28/4/2014
RM2.69
BUY
RM3.40
RM2.68
-0.4%
IGB (1597)  
28/4/2014
RM2.75
ACCUMULATE
RM3.20
RM2.75
0.0%
 
 
HOLD
CONT SELL
SELL/ TAKE PROFIT
CONT BUY
STRONG BUY