Thursday, November 20, 2014

Market Roundup | 19 November 2014


 

FBMKLCI   1824.39pts   +6.01pts   (+0.33%)     Volume  2.105b   Value 1.927b

 

 

 

1) The KLCI bucked the trend closing 6 pts above parity following the stronger U.S market before the release of the Oct FOMC minutes tonight. In the regional market, bourses were generally weaker today as the NIKKEI -0.32% slipped into the red despite Yen weakening,  SHCOMP -0.22% and HSI -0.66% continue its losing streak just before the release of HSBC manufacturing PMI tomorrow. In the local scene, trades were mixed  today as bluechips GENTING +1.48%, AXIATA+0.97% and TENAGA +0.73% outperformed in the market while CIMB -2.25%, KLK -2.79% weighed the index down. Market breadth was positive as gainers led losers by 438 :357. Futures closed at 1824 (parity).

 

 

 

2) Heavyweights : GENTING +1.48% RM4.09, AXIATA +0.97% RM7.27, TENAGA +0.73% RM13.74, TM +1.81% RM7.30, GENM +1.48% RM4.09, IHH +1.23% RM4.93, CIMB -2.25% RM6.06, KLK -2.79% RM23.00.

 

 

 

3) DBT : SUNWAY 16mil @ RM3.23, MEGB 10mil @ RM0.30 (2.44% PUC), REDTONE 5.8mil @ RM0.69 (1.11% PUC).

 

 

 

4) Situational:-

 

PMETAL  +9.96% RM3.42 - Press Metal has secured an additional 500MW of electricity for the proposed Phase III expansion of its aluminium smelter, which will be next to the current smelter in Samalaju Industrial Park, Sarawak. It had signed a term sheet with Sarawak Energy Bhd's unit Syarikat Sesco Bhd which would lead to a 25-year power purchase agreement and a connection deal. Press Metal said the power supply would be provided in two stages. Under the first stage, Sesco would supply 330MW by end 2015 and the remaining 170MW by early 2018.

 

 

 

5) KLK

 

FYE 9/2014       Tover +22% RM11.13bn         Net +8% RM991.7m   EPS 93.1sen  Div 55sen

 

                                    11% below cons(f) RM1.11bn

 

 

 

Plantations sector posted a profit of RM1.011 billion which was 27.8% above the preceding financial year's profit of RM791.2 million. Despite the negative contributions from refineries and kernel crushing plants and lower profit from rubber sector, the improved results was attributed to, better CPO RM2396/mt +5.3% and PK RM1576/mt +42.6% selling prices, reduction in production cost and increased sales volume of CPO and PK.

 

Manufacturing sector recorded a 14.2% decline in the todate profit to RM274.8 million vs RM320.3 million YOY. The sharp drop of oil prices in the 4th quarter had impacted margins and resulted in stocks write-down. Mitigated by the better performance from European operations through higher volumes.

 

The oleochemical division's profit slipped 13.9% to RM263.2 million and the other manufacturing units' profit fell 21.1% to RM11.6 million.

 

Properties sector reported a 44.6% drop in the financial year's profit to RM46.3 million due to the lower profit recognition from the development project in Bandar Seri Coalfields.

 

 

 

With the counter trading above its historical 5year average PE of 20x (currently 21.3x forward) with uncertain prospects for CPO prices we recommend a trim and switch to SIME our favourite heavyweight in this sector.

 

 

 

6) Market - The gradual recovery in market volume towards the RM2bn and improve breath indicated that some semblance of confidence is returning to the markets and we do expect a stronger close to the year end this continue to recommend a buy on weakness.