Thursday, November 27, 2014

Morning Call | 27 November 2014

FLOWS
Thursday, 27 November, 2014
BUY
TM, CIMB, AXIATA
SELL
SIME, TENAGA, MAXIS
STOCK ALERT
STOCK NAME
DATE
PRICE
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
TAMBUN (5191)
27/11/2014
RM2.19
ACCUMULATE
RM2.59
Share price is now trading at the lower end of its trading range, despite reporting 3Q results which were within street expectations. Although there was a lack of new launches in 3Q, the group should end the year with RM420m in sales ( vs RM500m in FY14). Pearl City remained the key contributor, making up to 68% of turnover in 3Q14. Thanks to the strong demand for its affordable properties, especially in Pearl City & Simpang Ampat township, the average take-up rate for all on-going projects remained strong at 87%. The 4 new projects launched in 2014 has a 77% take up rate as at mid-November, indicating that group continue to be keenly followed by buyers. Although the recent land deal to buy 210 acres of land and hence lost RNAV enhancement, we reckon Tambun, given management’s strength & track record, can easily embark on other land-banking opportunities. The investment angle for Penang mainland remains encouraging, which should translate into double digit earnings growth over the next 2 years. Trading at attractive PE of 7.5x for FY15 ;  Accumulate ( TP RM2.59 based on 9x FY15).
(AK)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
MUHIBBAH (5703)  
27/11/2014
RM2.47
TRADING BUY
RM2.82
The recent sharp sell-down due to the misconception of the group losing the bid for the RM1.6b Regassification Terminal ((RGT) in Pengerang, Johor has brought about a lower entry point into the stock. It has since been clarified that Muhibah did not even bid for that project, but instead for the RM1.1b 2nd package Pengerang RGT Jetty works. It is also bidding for RAPID’s Refinery subcontract works which collectively could be worth cRM500-RM1b, which could be announced soon. We reckon investors should also not disregard group’s improved infrastructure contract wins YTD of RM378m & also supported by RM430m total new crane orders from Favelle Favco. Group’s fundamentals remain intact on the back of RM2.3b OB and RM5b tender-book. Group is now trading at an undemanding FY15 PE of 8.7x ( vs 14x average mid cap construction), MACD converging & RSI @ 40. Foreign shareholding has fallen from a peak of 18% in Sept to 12% currently -  Trading Buy.
(AK)
 
 
Calls for NOV WEEK 3 | WEEK 4 2014
STOCK
Initiation Dates
Initiation price
BUY/SELL
TARGET PRICE
LAST PRICE
% Change since Initiated
MRCB (1651)
19/11/2014
RM1.50
ACCUMULATE
RM2.00
RM1.48
-1.4%
OCK (0172) 
19/11/2014
RM0.95
BUY
RM1.70
RM0.96 (ex)
+1.0%
SPRITZER(7103)
20/11/2014
RM2.08
ACCUMULATE
RM2.40
RM2.06
-1.0%
DIALOG(7277) 
20/11/2014
RM1.50
ACCUMULATE
RM1.70
RM1.56
+4.0%
AMBANK(1015)
21/11/2014
RM6.58
ACCUMULATE
RM7.50
RM6.61
+0.4%
CSCENIC(7202) 
21/11/2014
RM1.26
ACCUMULATE
RM1.50
RM1.21
-4.0%
UZMA (7250)
25/11/2014
RM2.50
TRADING BUY
RM3.00
RM2.59
+3.6%
ARMADA (5210) 
25/11/2014
RM1.41
ACCUMULATE
RM1.50
RM1.36
-3.6%
FITTERS (9318)
26/11/2014
RM0.77
TRADING BUY
RM0.88
RM0.78
+1.2%
TUNEINS (5230) 
26/11/2014
RM1.85
ACCUMULATE
RM2.15
RM1.88
+1.6%
 
 
Performance
Positive
 
Negative
 
Neutral